Evening Update Concerning Wednesday Storm Potential (issued 11/24)

WHAT: Strong, possibly severe, t-storms

WHEN: Threat timeframe between 3:00-9:00 pm (stay tuned for updates)

The Storm Prediction Center has placed the Cumberland Plateau in the marginal risk for severe storms for Wednesday afternoon/evening. Showers and t-showers are likely after noon, followed by a line of storms associated with a strong cold front in the evening. This front will be the main focus for any strong storm potential and I’ll be tracking that line of storms across the state. We’ll have an even better idea of timing once that line develops. For now, it’s best to plan on being weather-aware beginning at 3:00 pm.

At this time, a widespread severe weather event is not expected. The best “spin” for tornadoes is well to our south, while the best instability for towering thunderstorms is well to our north. We’re in the middle, which often give us a line of heavy rainfall that contains gusty winds to 40-50 mph.

The risk for an isolated tornado is extremely low but it’s not zero. However, the main threat would be a non-severe wind gust to 50 mph.

Outside of any storms, winds will be gusty tomorrow. We’re already seeing those winds increase this evening. Make sure outside loose objects are secure, including any holiday decorations.

Thanksgiving continues to look good, before an unsettled weather pattern evolves for the weekend. Guidance continues to suggest that Sunday’s showers could transition to rain and snow showers by Sunday night, becoming snow showers for Monday. I’ll keep you posted!

You all have a wonderful evening! I’ll have a full update on all our active weather in Wednesday morning’s blog update.

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