Meteorologist Mark’s Wx Blog for Mon., Feb. 15

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Headlines 

Sleet expected to cut down on both ice and snow totals

Winter Storm Warning continues today and tonight

Another system to watch this week

Meteorologist Mark’s Wx Vlog 

48-Hour WX

Five-Day Forecast

Daily Forecast Summary

Today: A wintry mix of freezing rain, sleet, rain, and eventually snow. Accumulation is likely and roads could be hazardous.

Tonight: Light snow. Light accumulation is likely.

Tuesday: Snow flurries and much colder.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy. Some light precip is possible toward evening. Wintry mix possible overnight.

Thursday: Rain, then snow. Monitoring closely.

Friday: Mostly cloudy, with snow flurries.

48-Hour Precip Forecast

Meteorologist Mark’s Wx Concerns

Higher sleet totals would mean lower ice totals.

Higher sleet totals mean lower snow totals.

With higher sleet totals and lower ice totals, the impacts to trees and powerlines should be lower.

Meteorologist Mark’s Snow Day Forecast

Meteorologist Mark’s Wx Discussion

Round one came through last night and early this morning and underperformed with precip. That’s great news! In fact, much of the precip stayed just off to our west. I did a screen capture of the radar last night, showing just how close it came. The precip was moving north and northeast. We did get brushed by with some showers. It was lightly raining when I went to bed.

Today’s data looks better for us, with sleet mixing in and cutting down on both ice and snow totals. Precip is also looking a bit lighter, which is another good sign! That will not be as true for those of you just west of the plateau or even across northwestern Cumberland County, as it looks right now. Many of you in Cumberland County are certainly looking better, especially across the southern half of the county. I’ve been eyeing that region for improving conditions for some time now.

Forecasting mixed precip on the plateau is quite challenging but it’s looking more like those of you south of I-40 will avoid ice storm conditions, for the most part. Roads will still be hazardous, so be careful. Hopefully, some of you can rise above freezing at some point today (esp south of I-40). That would really help out. Those of us who don’t can expect higher ice totals (1/4 – 1/2 inch).

Precip is currently moving back in our direction from the south. I’ll be tracking that throughout the day. You all stay safe and warm.

On This Day in Wx History

1969- A major snowstorm hits Middle Tennessee from the 15th into the 16th. Clarksville measures a whopping 10.1″ of snow, while Nashville sees 6.9″ and Crossville receives 4.0″.

Almanac

*32* Days until Spring (New!)

Yesterday’s National Temperature Extremes

High: 90° at Palm Beach, Brighton, and Titusville, Florida 

Low: -45° at Kabetogama, Minnesota

Today’s National Wx Hazards

A wintry mix of sleet, freezing and snow overspreads much of the eastern US today. Severe storms, meanwhile, threaten Florida. A new winter storm threatens the western US with more heavy snowfall.

Tomorrow’s National Wx Hazards

A mess of wintry precip falls across the Northeast, while another winter storm moves into the southern plains, with freezing rain and sleet for Texas, and snow for Oklahoma. More heavy snowfall can also be found across eastern Oregon and portions of Idaho.

 Weather Shots

I found this picture from the Blizzard of ’93 yesterday. This was Old Elmore Road in Rinnie. That’s my dad’s blazer, coming down the road. How crazy is it that this happened?

NASA Nerdology 

On Valentines’ Day in 1972, the Soviet Union launched Luna 20. Luna 20 landed on the moon a week later and was able to collect lunar soil from the surface for a return to Earth. They joked that Luna loved us to the Moon and back.

You all have a great day and keep lookin’ up!

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