MM’s Sun Wx Blog for May 2

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Weather Headlines

Strong Storms Possible Monday Night

Severe Storms Possible Tuesday

Turning Cooler Later in the Week

Note

I’ll release a special blog update this evening at around 8:00 pm to update you on the severe storm potential for this coming week.

Meteorologist Mark’s Wx Vlog 

Unavailable today

Five-Day Forecast

Daily Forecast Summary

Today: Increasing clouds. A shower or sprinkle possible during the afternoon/evening. Showers become likely overnight, along with a possible thunderstorm.

Monday: Showers and storms likely, especially later in the day. Some storms could be strong, especially overnight.

Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Some storms could be severe. Heavy rainfall possible.

Wednesday – Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy, with a chance for showers. Turning cooler to end the week.

Meteorologist Mark’s 5-Day Wx Concerns

Thunderstorms will be possible Monday night, and any one of them could be strong. Most of the stronger storms should stay to our west in the overnight hours, but I will watch that very closely.

As we get into Tuesday, a strong cold front will march across the state. That front could set off strong to severe storms. Tuesday is looking like a weather-aware day.

Meteorologist Mark’s Wx Discussion

The forecast concerning strong to severe storms with this next cold front isn’t as clear as I’d like it to be. There’s still a chance this could all transition to a heavy rain threat more than anything else. Never the less, certain severe parameters are a bit off the charts, so we certainly can’t let our guard down.

One of the main severe weather threats may be very large hail. There are indications that extremely strong updrafts are possible. That does not bode well for you if you don’t like hail! If you’re garage is such that you can’t get your car in there, today might be the day to do some garage cleaning (ha).

One good thing is that signals for tornadoes is actually quite low in the guidance (at least for now). With that being said, the damaging straight-line wind threat and hail threat may make up for that.

I’ll keep a close eye on this throughout the day today and I’ll do a special update later this evening to give you a heads up on what data’s guidance tells us.

Almanac for Yesterday

On This Day in Wx History

2010- An historic rain event never before witnessed in Middle Tennessee brings record rainfall amounts and widespread flash flooding and river flooding on May 1 and May 2. Nashville sets a new all-time record one-day rainfall with 7.25 inches for a two-day total of 13.57 inches. Rainfall intensity records for 6 hours (5.57″) and 12 hours (7.20″) are also set. The Cumberland River at Nashville floods for the first time in 26 years and posts its highest crest since flood control began, reaching 51.86 feet. Eighteen people were killed in the flooding across Middle Tennessee.

49 Days until Summer

Yesterday’s National Temperature Extremes

High:  107° at Death Valley, California

Low:   18° at Mount Washington, New Hampshire  

Today’s National Weather Map

Severe storms will threaten the Lower Mississippi River Valley today, with all modes of severe weather possible. The threat for flash flooding will be greatest across southern Mississippi. Another area of strong to severe storms can be found across eastern Colorado and western Kansas. That threat becomes more of a flash flood threat for south-central Nebraska. A wildfire danger overspreads much of eastern Arizona and much of New Mexico.

Drought Monitor

The drought monitor is updated each Thursday.

NASA Nerdology 

Undocking confirmed! After 167 days in space – the most for a U.S. spacecraft since the final Skylab mission in 1974 – NASA’s SpaceX Crew-1 astronauts have come back home! Splashdown was last night at 1:57am CT just off the coast of Florida.

It was beginning to get crowded up there! The crew of 11 had their final dinner together in space, before the Crew-1 astronauts headed back to earth.

You all have a great day and keep lookin’ up!

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