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MM’s Thurs Wx Blog for July 1

Weather Headlines 

Thunderstorms with heavy rainfall likely this afternoon and evening

A very nice holiday weekend ahead!

Tracking Tropical Storm Elsa toward the Gulf

Meteorologist Mark’s Wx Vlog 

Seven-Day Forecast

Daily Forecast 

Today: Mostly cloudy, with scattered showers and thunderstorms likely by afternoon. Heavy rainfall is possible.

Friday: Some mainly morning showers, with skies becoming partly cloudy as we go through the day.

Saturday & Sunday: Mostly sunny and very nice! Low humidity.

Monday: Partly cloudy and a bit more humid.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy, with a chance for an afternoon shower or thunderstorm.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, with scattered showers and thunderstorms looking likley.

Hay Weather Forecast

Showers have struggled to develop this morning, but that will change by this afternoon!

Forecast Discussion

The holiday weekend is looking great! I can’t remember the last time we will have had weather this nice for the Fourth!

I’ll be tracking Tropical Storm Elsa. That system could bring us increased rain chances by the middle and end of next week.

Meteorologist Mark’s Wx Concerns

Any storm that develops today could be strong, with gusty winds, cloud-to-ground lightning and very heavy rainfall. Please be careful if you encounter one of these torrential rainfall downpours. Flash flooding is a possibility both today and tonight. Remember, never drive across a flooded roadway.

Floods and Flash Floods | Georgia Emergency Management and Homeland  Security Agency

Almanac for Yesterday

Tropics 

Tropical Storm Elsa is the earliest-known fifth named storm on record in the Atlantic basin in the satellite era (since 1966). This breaks the old record held by Edouard on July 6, 2020.

The concern is that forecast path, taking it to the southern Gulf by Monday night. If this path holds true, folks on the Gulf Coast are going to need to pay close attention to this, as well as anyone with travel plans that direction next week. And, of course, whenever a storm gets in the Gulf and moves northward, there could be impacts to our forecast. Stay tuned.

cone graphic

Sun & The Moon

Planting by the Moon 

On This Day in Wx History

2012- Nashville’s high temperature reaches 105 degrees, giving the city four straight days of 105+ degree readings for the first time in history.

Yesterday’s National Temperature Extremes

High:  114° at Omak & Richland, Washington and Death Valley, California

Low:   33° at Peter Sinks, Utah 

Thirsty Thursday

75% of the human brain is water and 75% of a living tree is water.

Makes ya wonder what Nature is trying to tell us. (haha)

Today’s Tennessee Weather 

A cold frontal passage will bring near 100% chances for rain and thunderstorms across the state today. Some of the thunderstorms could be strong, and some of that rainfall could be heavy. A flash flood watch is in effect for East Tennessee for today and tonight. Be careful for sudden, torrential downpours statewide. Clouds and rain will keep temperatures in the 80s.

Tonight’s Tennessee Weather 

Showers and thunderstorms will continue to be likely into the night. Some of the rainfall could be heavy. Overnight low temperatures will be near 70 degrees statewide.

Tomorrow’s Tennessee Weather 

There will be some showers and thundershowers lingering behind the cold front on Friday. Drier air will move in during the day from the northwest, giving folks across the northern West and Middle Tennessee, including Nashville, more sunshine than the rest of us may see. Cooler air from northerly breezes will keep temps around 80 degrees for afternoon highs.

Drought Monitor

The drought monitor is updated each Thursday.

Weather SnapShots

I took this picture as I came home from teaching last night. I added the arrows to show the updraft and downdraft. See the shower below the downdraft? Isn’t this stuff cool?

NASA Nerdology 

Yesterday was Asteroid Day! Earlier this year, NASA’s OSIRIS-REx spacecraft said goodbye to the asteroid named Bennu, after two years of studying the asteroid’s rocky terrain. This photo was the last look OSIRIS-REx took of Bennu before beginning its long journey back to Earth.

A photograph showing just the crescent of Bennu

You all have a great day and keep lookin’ up!

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