The National Hurricane Center has determined that the disturbance we’ve been tracking for several days has now become Tropical Storm Fred. The storm is expected to bring heavy rain and gusty winds to the islands in its path.
Interaction with land is liable to keep the storm from strengthening too much. However, should the center move a bit north and avoid more land, it would be able to become a bit stronger.
As you can see, the storm is expected to enter the Gulf of Mexico by Saturday. Models disagree on what happens there, with some favoring a stronger storm that becomes a hurricane, to others thinking that atmospheric winds will keep the storm a weaker tropical storm. Hopefully, that forecast will become clearer in the coming days.
The strongest winds and heaviest rainfall is often to the right of the center of a storm. Therefore, on this current path, Florida would really take a beating.
I noticed that governmental officials are urging Floridians to get vaccinated now for covid. Crowded shelters and covid could be rough.
Anyone with travel plans to the Gulf or Florida should monitor this storm very closely.
I’ll have a full update in the morning!