I’ll be brief, as it’s late and many of you many not see this until Saturday morning. I’ll have a full blog update in the morning, of course. I’ll try to have that out by 8:30 at the latest.
Two things have come in a bit clearer this evening. First, models are trending a bit higher with precip. That’s after trending lower this afternoon. This basically keeps my 4-6 inch forecast in tact, with locally higher amounts. There will be a swath of snow that produces heavier snowfall. We see this with nearly all winter storms, so it’s nothing unusual.
Basically, just be prepared for significant snowfall that will HIGHLY impact travel on Sunday. Because the snow will be a wetter snow, there is a risk of power outages. If heavier snow falls, power outages and tree damage could be widespread. Just be aware of that.
The second thing that is changing is timing. It may be midnight before snow accumulates on the plateau. I’ll wait and see how things look with tonight’s data and Saturday morning’s data before I make changes to my timing forecast. I continue to suggest being home by dark. You do not want to be caught on the roads when the snow begins. Roads, whether treated or not, will quickly become hazardous.
Use Saturday to prepare for this event if you didn’t prepare today. Make sure you have heat if the power goes out. Make sure you use that heat correctly.
Finally, there continues to be a chance for some areas of light snow Saturday morning. That should not be a big problem but be safe if you have to travel in the morning.
The graphs below remain unchanged. The main thing I see changing at this point would be the timing of the beginning of the snow.
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This will be a snow event, though sleet could mix in with the snow. This will not be an ice storm.