Wednesday’s Hazards
**Strong and gusty southerly winds during the day. Wind gusts may exceed 50 mph at times. These types of winds could down some trees and knock out powerlines. These could be some of the strongest winds we’ve seen this season.
**A line of strong to severe storms that will affect our area after dark. All hazards are possible with this line, including the possibility for tornadoes. The greatest risk looks to come between 8:00 pm and Midnight.
Radar Simulation
The following radar simulation begins at 9:00 a.m. and ends with the line of storms coming onto the plateau at midnight. You see the line crossing the Mississippi River at 3:00 pm. Keep in mind that these times may change by at least a couple of hours. You can track that line tomorrow and see how well it compares to this simulation.
MM’s Severe Weather Concern
Storm Prediction Center
The Storm Prediction Center has placed our region in the slight risk for severe storms.
Power Outage Map
You can keep up with power outages caused by winds and storms on Wednesday at https://poweroutage.us/area/state/tennessee
Link to Severe Weather Safety
Keep in mind that I have a link for severe weather tips at https://meteorologistmark.com/severe-weather-safety/
Summary
Keep in mind that the greatest threat for severe weather will be across West Tennessee and Mississippi. The most severe of the storms are expected there. As that activity in West TN moves east, it is expected to weaken. By the time that line of storms reaches the plateau, it should be much weaker than it was in West TN. Never the less, we will need to be weather-aware as this dangerous line of storms approaches us. It makes little difference to you how low the severe weather chance may be if that severe weather is in your neighborhood.
Everything is favorable for severe weather tomorrow evening in Middle TN except instability. If we get sunshine tomorrow or we warm up more than expected (currently looking for a high of 75 deg) then we might see more severe weather. If instability stays really low, severe storms will be very isolated, at best.
So, let’s hope for cloudy skies and for temps to not warm past 75. We also hope humidity levels stay low. The warmer and more muggy it gets tomorrow the better our storm chances.
I’ll keep an eye on things!
