Note

I’ll have another special update later tonight (around 9:00 pm) to update you on the latest.

Summary

I just listened in on a weather briefing of the NWS in Nashville. The main takeaway from that discussion is that the main focus for concern is Wednesday night. The main threat for that severe weather is expected to stay west of the plateau, though we will still need to be weather aware. We have a few rounds of storms coming with this active pattern this week.

Round 1: Late tonight (around midnight). These storms could be strong (isolated severe?) but widespread severe weather is not expected.

Round 2: Late Tuesday night/early Wednesday morning. Again, storms could be strong but should stay mostly below severe limits.

Round 3: Wednesday night. This is the most concerning batch of storms. The good news is that storms are expected to weaken as they cross Middle TN. These should threaten our area between 9:00 pm and 3:00 am.

I’ll keep a close eye on all three rounds of storms. Make sure your weather radios are turned on and ready to sound, just in case a severe storm moves into our area over the next three days. Also, have an app that you know works well (I recommend Red Cross Tornado app. Local tv stations in Knoxville have good weather apps too). ALWAYS, have multiple ways to get a warning, with the weather radio being your primary way.

Radar Simulation

Round 1 comes late tonight. Most of you will likely sleep through this.

This simulation begins at 5:00 pm this evening and runs through 2:00 a.m. Tuesday. As you can see, a line of storms is expected to move into our region out of Kentucky around midnight tonight.

Conclusion

The storms Wednesday night are the most concerning but even those are looking far worse for West TN, weakening as they move eastward. Still, we will need to be weather aware.

I’ll keep an eye on things and keep you posted!