Summary
There is a bit of a lull in activity at this hour, but the radar will likely get busy within the next hour across Middle TN. I do have some good news. The latest data shows that shear is weaker than expected, which will put a damper on the ability of storms to rotate. Nevertheless, we could still see some intense storms that could produce severe weather, including the risk for a tornado.
The latest update from the Storm Prediction Center keeps our area in the slight risk for severe weather, with the enhanced being just to our east.
My concern remains unchanged from the morning outlook.
Once the cold front passes the threat will end. That should occur this afternoon, assuming the front doesn’t slow down. I’ll let you know when we’re in the clear.
Radar Simulation
This simulation is from 10:00 a.m. to 5:00 pm. Don’t focus on exact locations of storms on this simulation, just the general trend.
Severe Weather Safety
Radar
The current radar at 10:00 am shows storms firing off to our west. It is possible that we could have several rounds of showers and storms today, as an area of low pressure spins across Kentucky. I’ve circled the first round I’m currently watching. The borders of Cumberland and Fentress county is highlighted.
Radar Link
https://www.wunderground.com/radar/us/tn/nashville/ohx
Conclusion
Be weather-aware today and have your severe weather safety plan in place, just in case.
I’ll be watching it all!