An unsettled pattern begins to evolve today, increasing rain and storm chances, especially by tonight. A few storms could be strong from now through Wednesday, perhaps even locally severe at times, but widespread severe weather is not expected. By Thursday, drier air works into the area but it is short-lived, as another active period of weather begins to take shape by Friday evening.
This Week’s Hazards
Widespread severe weather is not expected in this five-day time period. However, keep in mind that any storm that develops Monday night through Wednesday could be on the strong side, with gusty winds, small hail, cloud-to-ground lightning and heavy rainfall.
MM’s Wx Vlog
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Unavailable today. I’m giving my voice a break. (ha)
Weather Forecast
Monday: Mostly sunny, with a slight chance for an afternoon/evening shower or storm. Rain becomes more likely overnight.
Tuesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms likely, especially in the afternoon and evening.
Wednesday: Rain and storms likely.
Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny.
Friday: A chance for mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms.
MM’s Severe Wx Concerns
Storm Prediction Center T-storm Outlook
The best risk for severe storms this evening will be found across West TN.
Severe Weather Safety Tips
HRRR Radar Model
This model runs from noon to 11:00 pm., in one-hour increments. Notice a line of rain and storms by around 11:00 pm. These are expected to be weakening and are not expected to be severe.
Radar Link
https://www.wunderground.com/radar/us/tn/nashville/ohx
Wind Forecast
Time is in 24 hour units, beginning at 6:00 a.m. today. Simply scroll to the right to see future hours.
| Date | 06/06 | 06/07 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Hour (CDT) | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 |
| Surface Wind (mph) | 8 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Wind Dir | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | S | SSW | S | S | S | S | S | S | SSW | SSW | SSW |
| Gust | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 20 |
Three-Day Rainfall Forecast
Drought Outlook
This is the latest drought map, updated each Thursday. More drought info can be found at my link at https://meteorologistmark.com/drought-info/.
On This Day
1975 – A tornado, reportedly spinning backwards (spinning clockwise), was sighted near Alva, OK.
1944 – Operation Overlord: D-Day begins as the 156,000-strong Allied Expeditionary Force lands in Normandy, France, during World War II.
Almanac
Hurricane Forecast
The wind forecast for Tropical Storm Alex shows the storm moving out to sea, after a brush with Bermuda.
MM News
I’m so excited to be speaking at the Master Gardeners meeting Tuesday evening! I’ll be talking about weather and climate and their impact on local gardening. I look forward to meeting the group and hope to teach everyone a little something!
MM Classes for Kids
Information about my classes for kids can be found at https://meteorologistmark.com/mm-kids/.
MeteorologistMarkPro
This week’s MM newsletter is the about the latest frosts, freezes, and snow on the plateau. If you find this kind of info interesting for our area, you might consider subscribing to the newsletter at https://meteorologistmarkpro.com/! It’s only $5 a month or $50 a year, with proceeds supporting my education outreach programs with the kids.
You all have a great day and keep lookin’ up!
