The Storm Prediction Center has just issued a discussion for West TN and portions of western Middle TN. They are monitoring that area for a possible severe t-storm watch for this afternoon. These are the storms that we will track toward our area later tonight. Storms are expected to be their most intense in the heat of the afternoon in the blue-circled area on the map below. As storms move our way after dark, they are expected to weaken. Nevertheless, we could see some strong storms in the 9:00 pm to 3:00 a.m. window that would contain cloud-to-ground lightning, gusty winds, heavy rainfall, and even some small hail. Widespread severe weather is not expected in our area. I’ll keep an eye on it! FYI, the funny-looking symbols with the little arrows across western TN and KY are just symbols for thunderstorms.
The HRRR radar model shows storms developing overnight. This model runs from 4:00 pm to 5:00 a.m. in one hour increments. Don’t focus on exact locations of precip, as this is just a model.