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MM’s Sat Wx Forecast for July 2

Wx Summary

A slow-moving frontal boundary will bring scattered showers and storms to the plateau for our holiday weekend. Widespread severe weather is not expected but any storm that develops could be intense. By Monday, the front is expected to have drifted just south of the area, giving us a reduced chance for rain. However, by Tuesday and Wednesday that front may drift back northward, providing more chances for scattered showers and storms.

This Week’s Hazards

Any storm could be locally strong to even severe, with damaging winds being the main threat. Be mindful of the deadly cloud-to-ground lightning, as well.

MM’s Wx Vlog

Weather Forecast

Saturday – Sunday: Partly cloudy, with scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially in the afternoons and evenings. Rain chances should taper off by Sunday night.

Independence Day: Partly cloudy, with a chance for mainly afternoon showers and storms.

Tuesday – Wednesday: Partly cloudy, with scattered showers and storms, esp in the afternoon.

MM’s Severe Wx Concerns 

Any storm that develops this weekend could be locally intense, with deadly lightning, gusty winds, and heavy rainfall. Keep an eye to the sky and an eye on the radar if you have outdoor plans. If you’re close enough to hear thunder, you’re close enough to be struck by lightning.

 SPC T-storm Outlook for Today

Severe Weather Safety Tips

HRRR Radar Model

This radar simulation begins at 9:00 a.m. and ends at 9:00 p.m. This particular mofel fires off some storms around the noon hour and then keeps them isolated to scattered the rest of the day.

Wind Forecast

Time is in 24 hour units, beginning at 7:00 a.m. today. Simply scroll to the right to see future hours.

Hour (CDT)070809101112131415161718192021222300010203040506
Surface Wind (mph)555555333322221111111111

Drought Outlook

Drought info can be found at my link at That link also allows you to compare this week’s map with last week’s. The maps update each Thursday.

Drought conditions continue to worsen across the state and here on the plateau.

On This Day

1987 – Thunderstorms in Colorado produced hail as large as golf balls northwest of Kiowa, which accumulated to a depth of twelve inches. Hail two and a half inches in diameter was reported at Black Forest. Hail damaged 900 acres of crops south of the town of Wiggins.

1776 – Continental Congress resolves “these United Colonies are and of right ought to be Free and Independent States”.


Hurricane Forecast

A surprise tropical storm formed on the Carolina coast last night. We now have Tropical Storm Colin moving up the coastline. The storm will bring wind and rain to that area today.

Farther south, Tropical Storm Bonnie is making a rather unusual move westward and into the Pacific.

The yellow-shaded region represents a tropical disturbance that is struggling this morning and only has a 10% chance of developing into anything. It will more likely dissipate in the coming days.

MM Classes for Kids

Registration for the MM kids classes in July is now open! Classes cap at 15 students. The topic for July’s classes is rockets!

For the Crossville class, register at

For the Clarkrange class, register at


This week’s MM newsletter is about past record warmth that we’ve experienced here on the plateau. If you find this kind of info interesting, you might consider subscribing to the newsletter at! It’s only $5 a month or $50 a year, with proceeds supporting my education outreach programs with the kids.

You all have a great day and keep lookin’ up!

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