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MM’s Tues Wx Forecast for July 12

For the risk of strong to severe storms later this afernoon and overnight

Wx Summary

A slow-moving cold front will make its way toward our region later today and overnight. That front will kick off numerous showers and storms, some of which could be strong to severe. Damaging straight-line winds are the main threat. The rest of the week features a typical summer pattern, with warm temps and just enough humidity to cause an isolated shower or storm on the plateau each day.

This Week’s Hazards

MM’s Wx Vlog

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and storms. Rain coverage expected to increase overnight. Southwest wind at 5-10 mph.

Wednesday: Chance for isolated showers and thunderstorms. West wind at 5 mph.

Thursday – Friday: Partly cloudy, with a slight chance for a shower or storm. Northerly winds at 5 mph.

Saturday: Partly cloudy, with a slight chance for a shower or storm. Northerly winds at 5 mph.

 SPC T-storm Outlook for Today

Our region is highlighted in the marginal risk for severe weather for this afternoon and tonight, which is the lowest of the five severe weather risk categories.

The panels below show the risk for severe weather. The upper left panel shows the severe risk overall. The panel in the upper right shows the tornado risk, the panel in the lower left shows the hail risk, and the panel in the lower right shows the wind risk.

HRRR Radar Model

This radar simulation runs from noon to midnight in one-hour increments. Notice how the trend is for activity to increase later in the evening.

Drought Outlook

Drought info can be found at my link at That link also allows you to compare this week’s map with last week’s. The maps update each Thursday.

Drought conditions continue to worsen across the state and here on the plateau.

On This Day

1951 – The Kaw River flood occurred. The month of June that year was the wettest of record for the state of Kansas, and during the four days preceding the flood much of eastern Kansas and western Missouri received more than ten inches of rain. Flooding in the Midwest claimed 41 lives, left 200 thousand persons homeless, and caused a billion dollars property damage. Kansas City was hardest hit. The central industrial district sustained 870 million dollars property damage.

1804 – Former United States Secretary of the Treasury Alexander Hamilton dies after being shot in a pistol duel the previous day by Vice President Aaron Burr.


Hurricane Forecast

An area of low pressure in the northern Gulf continues to be monitored for possible tropical development. Regardless of development, the system is expected to bring heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the northern Gulf Coast.

MM Classes for Kids

If you would like to be added to the email list to be notified of when registration for classes opens, just send me an email to

Registration for the Crossville MM kids class in July is now open! Classes cap at 15 students. The topic for July’s class is rockets!

For the Crossville class on July 13, register at

Registration for the Clarkrange class in August is now open! That class topic is telescopes, with emphasis on the new NASA James Webb telescope. That class is August 4 at 5:00. Please allow extra travel time due to the Highway 127 yard sales. Registration is available at

You all have a great day and keep lookin’ up!

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