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LOCAL WEATHER
MM’s Wx Vlog
This Week’s Hazards
Severe weather is not expected for the next five days.
Just be safe with outdoor burning (where it’s allowed), as conditions continue to get drier.
Five-Day Outlook
Five-Day Weather Forecast
Saturday: Partly cloudy. Clouds increase later in the day. Slight chance showers after midnight.
Sunday: Scattered showers.
Halloween: Mostly cloudy, with a chance for showers.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy and mild.
Wednesday: Partly to mostly cloudy, with a slight chance for a shower.
Forecast Discussion
Unfortunately, the trend has been for the weekend system to be drier. Hopefully that will change, but it’s now looking like we might just get about half an inch of rain. I’ll keep monitoring that.
A deep trough is forecast to develop next week across the western US. This could lead to unsettled weather for us in 7-10 days. Severe storms are expected across the central US with this trough by the end of next week. I’ll have to watch that as it moves eastward.
Almanac
HRRR Radar Model
This radar model runs from midnight Saturday to midnight Sunday in one-hour increments. There will likely be more showers than depicted here, but this gives you a good idea of what radar will look like on Sunday.
Three-Day Rainfall Forecast
Rainfall amounts continue to trend downward for us with our system this weekend and into Halloween. Widespread half inch total rain amounts look probable, with some folks maybe getting 3/4 inch.
Storm Prediction Center Forecast Threats for the Coming Week
Day 1 is today and then the days progress ahead. The general green on our area for tomorrow (Day 2) is for the risk of a non-severe t-storm. That chance is low but not zero. By Day 7 (Friday) there is a risk of severe storms in Texas. I’ll track that system eastward and monitor it for any risk that might develop for our area by next weekend.
HISTORY
On This Day
2011 – New York City received one inch of snow, the earliest they had received that much snow since records began. It was also only the fourth times since the Civil War snow had fallen in New York City in October. The storm also left over three million people without power including 62% of the customers of Connecticut Light and Power.
REGIONALLY
Past 24-Hour Precip Totals
Drought Outlook
Drought conditions continue to worsen across the state. Rainfall over the next seven days will likely do little to help. For even more drought info, including a look at the national drought map, please visit https://meteorologistmark.com/drought-info/
TN population affected by drought last week: 3,482,576
TN population affected by drought this week: 4,614,652
NATIONALLY
National Weather Map for Today
Past 24-Hour Temperature Changes
Bluer colors represent colder temps from 24 hours ago this morning, while redder colors indicate warmer temps from 24 hours ago.
Today’s High Temps & Departure from Average
Today’s high temps are shown below. The coloration indicates departure from average, with redder colors indicating above-average high temps and bluer colors indicating below-average high temps. White coloration indicates average temps.
Highest temp expected today: 89 degrees (red star)
Coolest high temp expected today: 22 degrees (blue star)
Tomorrow Morning’s Low Temps & Departure from Average
Tomorrow morning’s low temps are shown below. The coloration indicates departure from average, with redder colors indicating above-average low temps and bluer colors indicating below-average temps. White coloration indicates average temps expected.
Warmest overnight low expected: 79 degrees (red star)
Coolest overnight low expected: 6 degrees (blue star)
Current Snow Cover Map
Hurricane Forecast
The yellow-shaded region will likely dissipate this weekend. The red-shaded area will likely become our next named storm (Lisa ) but is expected to stay in the southern Caribbean as it moves west.
MM NEWS
MM Classes for Kids
The next MM kid’s classes will take place in November. The Clarkrange class will take place Thursday, November 10 at 5:00 pm. The next Crossville class will take place on Wednesday, November 16 at 4:30 pm. The class topic will be snow! Registration is required. Class is limited to 20 students.
To register for the Clarkrange class go to https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdRJOsgYZEhYSTSzVpM3vNbbD-1p76Xy2dAGW9fZJnkTdyDsw/viewform
To register for the Crossville class go to https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSeeY1rYL2Ahg4tVzHFHAig1VJcVwJvxqGzCvhRK2QB0hj9Q8A/viewform
MeteorologistMarkPro
Subscribe today to the MM Pro monthly newsletter! Proceeds pay for materials for the MM kid’s classes. Try out a free copy or subscribe at https://meteorologistmarkpro.com/
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You all have a great day and keep lookin’ up!
