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MM’s Midweek Wx Update


An unsettled pattern begins to evolve


MM’s Wx Vlog

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This Week’s Hazards

Five-Day Outlook

Normal High: 54 deg Normal Low: 34 deg

Five-Day Weather Forecast 

Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Continued mild.

Thanksgiving: Partly cloudy and mild. Rain showers likely by sunset.

Friday: Mainly morning showers.

Saturday: Rain developing by afternoon. Becoming windy, with evening/overnight wind gusts to 20 mph possible.

Sunday: Chance for mainly morning showers.

Forecast Discussion 

An unsettled pattern begins developing on Thanksgiving and that will give us some of our best rain chances in some time. That wetter pattern will be with us through at least Saturday night, possibly lingering into the first half of the day Sunday. Then, mild temperatures will continue to settle into the region. As our next storm system organizes over the central plains on Tuesday, we’ll watch how that whole system moves our way. There is the potential for storms by Wednesday. It is unclear how strong those storms will be, but that’s something I’ll need to monitor over the coming days.

The Storm Prediction Center is already highlighting portions of the southern plains for severe storms on Tuesday. It is possible that the severe threat will shift eastward. I’ll keep an eye on it.

Weather Statistics

Weather statistics are available each day at


2004 – An outbreak of severe thunderstorms produced reports of 54 tornadoes across portions of Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas and Alabama. In Texas’s Hardin county, one person was killed with three injured when a tornado struck during the afternoon 

1863 – Patent granted for a process of making color photographs

Weather history is updated for each day at


Drought Outlook 

Drought conditions continue across the state. The drought map updates each Thursday. For more drought info, please visit

Estimated population in drought Areas in TN last week = 4,338,497

Estimated population in drought Areas in TN this week = 4,544,260


Five-Day Total Rainfall Forecast 

Widespread 1-2 inch rain amounts are expected on the plateau from Thursday night to Sunday.

Current Snow Cover Map 

Extended Temperature Outlook (Nov 28- Dec 2)

This milder pattern may lead to severe storms for the southern plains on Tuesday. That threat could move eastward by Wednesday, though details of that are quite unclear at this time.

Extended Precip Outlook (Nov 28- Dec 2)


Meteorologist Mark Kids’ Classes (MM Class)

The next MM kid’s classes will take place in January and February of 2023. The next Crossville class will take place on Wednesday, January 18 at 4:30 pm. The Clarkrange class will take place Thursday, February 2 at 5:00 pm. Registration is required. The class topic will be hail! Registration can be found at


This month’s MM newsletter featured stories that include the NOAA winter outlook, an unusual November winter storm that struck the plateau, and the real story behind woolly worms. That and more are all in November’s newsletter! Subscribe today to support the MM kids classes or just try a sample for free at

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, forecast discussion, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

You all have a great day and keep lookin’ up!

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