Issued Sunday evening, May 31, 2026
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MM’s Forecast for the Plateau
This forecast is tailor-made for the Cumberland Plateau by Meteorologist Mark Baldwin each day!
Good evening, folks! I just wanted to give you an update on this evening’s forecast and Monday’s risk for severe storms. First of all, be careful if out and about this evening. Some of these downpours are intense and there have been flood advisories and flash flood warnings issued around the area for various storms producing heavy rainfall. Not all of us will see it, but those that do might get a lot of water in a short period of time.
Severe weatehr is not expected this evening or overnight.
Tomorrow’s severe storm threat continues to look rather complicated. A complex of storms is expected to develop in the Midwest and move through parts of Missouri. Then, we have to see if the bulk of that complex dives south through West and Middle TN or if part of it develops over toward the plateau. Until that complex of storms develops tomorrow, we won’t know where exactly it will track. Just keep in mind that we have the risk for severe storms Monday evening from that situation.
As I look at the latest data myself, I suspect the bulk of that complex will dive south out of Missouri and stay just to the west of the plateau. However, I also suspect that, like so many complexes that have behaved that way in the past, we end up getting scattered storms on the eastern flank of that complex. That results from rain-cooled air to our west acting like a bit of a cold front, with the plateau just to the east of that boundary and in a good position to see scattered showers and storms develop. I suspect some of those storms would have some very gusty winds and possibly reach severe limits. …much like summer storms would do.
The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of the plateau in a marginal risk for severe storms for Monday afternoon and evening.
If skies clear out, tonight is the Full Moon! It’s what some folks call a blue moon, meaning it’s the second full moon within the month. It’s also a “micro” moon, which is the first time I’ve heard of this. lol During Earth’s eliptical orbit, we’re farthest from the sun this time of year, and that leads to this being called a micro moon. It definitely didn’t look any smaller last night! It was beautiful and bright.
I’m so excited for space camp to start tomorrow! The next two weeks will be very busy for me, with space camp all this week and storm chase camp next week. Me and the kiddos will make sure we keep an eye on the radar, too. ha I have over 100 kiddos coming to camps this year! How awesome is that?!
Be sure to follow this site and/or download the free Meteorologist Mark app from your app store to get updates about the weather of the Cumberland Plateau sent to your phone as soon as I send them out. Thank you all so much!
FYI, a micro Full Moon is one that occurs when Earth is at its fartherst distance from the sun in our eliptical orbit. This will occur Sunday night, May 31.
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