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Severe Storms Threaten Tonight & A Look at the Week Ahead

This is Sunday evening, July 26, 2026

A look at the week ahead and what I’m keeping an eye on, including the risk for storms tonight!

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A severe t-storm watch is in effect until midnight for portions of Kentucky. These will likely be extended south in time.

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I didn’t change much with this graphic from this morning, except to increase tonight’s rain chances to 70% from the 50% I had forecast this morning. As I see how tonight’s storms interact with us, etc., I may be able to lower rain chances for Monday in the Monday morning forecast update. Stay tuned.

The bars in orange represent the timeframe that I’m currently most concerned with severe storms. Please keep in mind that any storm that forms in this enviroment could rapidly become severe.

5-Day Forecast

MM says…I’m watching for storms dropping in from the northwest through Tuesday. Any storm could pack a punch. Lower humidity on Wednesday and Thursday will feel very nice!

As expected, confidence for Monday and Tuesday has increased since our Friday night update.

MM’s Weather Worries for the Week

Tonight will be a weather alert night. If that threat changes, I will issue special updates to let you know. Hopefully, storms will weaken after sunset. They may also just give us a glancing blow. It’s all something to watch tonight.

Make sure your weather radio is turned on in case we get warnings tonight.

MM’s Wx Analysis

This evening’s weather is active! Those storms diving southward have our attention.

Monday’s weather map is active too! Storms are very close by and we’ll be mindful of that on Monday.

Finally, the cold front pushes through on Tuesday. This front brings a risk for severe storms but it also brings in nicer weather for Wednesday and Thursday.

Our strong jetstream winds aloft continue to be from the northwest, potentially steering strong storms our way from Kentucky.

Additional Analysis

While we don’t have much to talk about in the tropics on our side of the world, the Pacific continues to be very active. This is expected in an El Nino year, when Pacific Ocean waters are warmer than normal. This storm seen here may impact the Hawaiin Islands this week. The brunt of the storm should stay just north of them, but they may still see some impacts.

This storm is an impressive cat 3 today. Notice how pretty it is on satellite. It will stay away from land as it spins out into the open Pacific. Storms have a LOT of room to play in over there!

Past 3 Days Radar-Estimated Rainfall

This is radar-estimated rainfall over the past three days. We continue to make a dent in the regional drought. More areas will likely be removed from drought in Thursday’s update.

The Night Sky & Space Stuff

Wednesday and Thursday night will likely offer some really nice night sky viewing conditions.

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Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

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Severe Storms Possible Tonight

Issued July 26, 2026

For those who may have missed my updates since Friday night, I just wanted to remind you all of the Sunday evening weekly in-depth weather update coming this evening.

I also wanted to let you know that our severe threat for tonight is increasing but I’m monitoring it all very closely.

Those of you who tuned in for Friday night’s in-depth weather check know that I’ve been concerned about storm complexes dropping down from the north. Well, unfortunately my concerns were valid and we have our first threat of one of those late tonight (perhaps after midnight). These storms could be severe, so I’m watching everything very closely over the coming hours. I’m also analyzing our impacts and will have much on this tonight.

This won’t be our last severe storm threat in the days ahead. I’ll have MUCH more in tonight’s Sunday night weekly update!

I’ll see you all around 7:00 this evening!

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

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MM’s Sun 5-Day: Tracking Storms from the North

Today is Sunday, July 26, 2026

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MM’s Hourly Forecast

5-Day Forecast

MM says…A very warm and humid Sunday for the plateau! An isolated storm can’t be ruled out. Better storm chances may come tonight.

6-10 Day Temp & Precip Outlook

MM’s Weather Worries

In Friday night’s in-depth weather update, I discussed those storm complexes that I’m always concerned about. This morning’s guidance continues to suggest that I may be right to be concerned. Stay tuned for forecast updates.

MM’s Wx Analysis

A complext of storms is expected to develop today across the upper Midwest and then dive southward. Some of these storms may hold together to impact the plateau tonight.

On This Day

New episodes each week!

Farmer’s Almanac Gardening

MM’s Aches-n-Pains Forecast

MM’s Pollen Forecast

Top allergens are Grasses & Ragweed

Yesterday’s Local Weather Stats

The Crossville Airport is the official reporting station for the plateau.

Yesterday’s Storm Reports

Radar-Estimated Precip from Yesterday

Drought Conditions

This graphic is released to the public every Thursday.

Thank You, Sponsors!

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

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MM’s Saturday 5-Day: Watching for Storms

Today is Saturday, July 25, 2026

I’d love to see you at Common Grounds this afternoon! I’ll be there with Rita for this fundraiser. Come out and buy a cup of coffee to support a wonderful mission!

Bringing you your tailor-made local weather forecast since 2017!

MM’s Hourly Forecast

5-Day Forecast

MM says…Don’t cancel outdoor plans, just have a back-up rain plan in case a shr or storm pops up!

6-10 Day Temp & Precip Outlook

MM’s Weather Worries

In Friday night’s in-depth weather update, I discussed those storm complexes that I’m always concerned about. This morning’s guidance suggest I may be right to be concerned. Stay tuned for forecast updates.

MM’s Wx Analysis

Active weather can be found along a stationary boundary draped from the Dakotas to the Carolinas. This pattern is bringing lots of unsettled weather to the central and eastern U.S. We’re not exempt from that active weather here in Tennessee, as heat, humidity, and an unstable atmosphere could bring a storm to the plateau today and tomorrow.

On This Day

New episodes each week!

Farmer’s Almanac Gardening

MM’s Aches-n-Pains Forecast

MM’s Pollen Forecast

Top allergens are Grasses & Ragweed

Yesterday’s Local Weather Stats

The Crossville Airport is the official reporting station for the plateau.

Yesterday’s Storm Reports

Radar-Estimated Precip from Yesterday

Drought Conditions

This graphic is released to the public every Thursday.

Drought conditions continue to slowly improve! Also, keep in mind that Tuesday and Wednesday’s rain is not included in this analysis but it will be included in next week’s update. Last week, 55% of the state was in drougth. This week that percentage is down to 45%, which is a remarkable recovery! Three months ago, 100% of the state was in drought, with 86% of the state in severe to extreme drought. Today, only 4% of the state is in severe drought. A remarkable recovery, indeed.

last week’s map can be seen below, for reference.

Space Stuff

Thank You, Sponsors!

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings.