A look at the week ahead and what I’m keeping an eye on!

This is Sunday evening, July 19, 2026

Don’t forget today is National Icecream Day! Get yourself some icecream!

Bringing you your tailor-made local weather forecast since 2017!

5-Day Forecast

MM says…I’m watching Monday for storms that may produce flash flooding, Tuesday for severe storms, and the end of the week for lower humidity.

I’ll have a fresh update Monday morning to give you the latest on the severe storm threat that is possible on Tuesday.

You’ll notice the confidence bars under each day. The more darker blue you see, the more confident I am in that day’s forecast.

MM’s Weather Worries for the Week

While any of Monday’s storms could be strong and/or produce flash flooding, the greatest overall threat may come Tuesday evening. Timing is yet to be determined, so please stay tuned for updates. This has the potential to be an impactful severe weather event for the plateau.

We should see less coverage of storms on Monday, but any storm could be severe and/or produce flash flooding and frequent lightning.

For this update, I’ve increased all threats just a bit.

MM’s Wx Analysis

The weather maps for Monday show more scattered showers and storms for the eastern U.S. By Tuesday, the weather map, seen below, shows a volatile day of severe storms impacting the Ohio and Tennessee valleys. That cold front you see in the Midwest will pass through our area Wednesday, bringing lower humidity by Thursday.

An unseasonably strong jet stream could help steer powerful storm complexes toward TN by Tuesday.

Additional Analysis

A tropical depression formed today and that will likely evolve into Tropical Storm Bertha by Monday. A newly updated track takes the storm westward, which gives it more time over water. This means it may end up becoming a high-end tropical storm before it makes landfall in Texas by Friday. This system will mainly bring gusty winds and bands of showers and storms to coastal areas this week.

A new episode of Weather & War this week will feature the Battle of Lookout Mountain Tennessee! Stay tuned!

Farmer’s Almanac Gardening

MM’s Aches-n-Pains Forecast

MM’s Pollen Forecast

Grasses will be the top allergen this week.

Storm Reports this Month

These are all the storm reports filed in TN so far this month.

And this is all the storm reports issued across the nation in July.

Past 3 Days Radar-Estimated Rainfall

I put a yellow rectangle over Cumberland and Fentress counties to give you perspective. We’ve seen a lot of rain in many places over the past few days, helping us chip away at the drought on the plateau.

Drought Conditions

This graphic is released to the public every Thursday.

We continue to chip away at the drought but severe drought conditions were still present as of last Thursday. Before today, the official deficit for Crossville was nearly 7 inches. Some of you are drier and some of you are wetter.

The Night Sky & Space Stuff

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Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

A flash flood warning has now been issue for central Putnam County, including Cookeville and Algood, until 8:15 pm. A flahs flood warning remains for Cumberland County until 7:45 pm. The warned areas are shaded in green on the map below. Flood advisories (not as severe as a flash flood warning) are in effect for portions of Morgan and Bledsoe counties (areas shaded in blue).

More flash flood warnings are possible as we go through the evening. Plus, dangerous and very frequent cloud-to-ground lightning has been occurring with some of these storms (some houses have even been struck in the area).

You all be safe out there. Don’t drive across flooded roads, especially if you know the water is swiftly moving.

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

A flash flood warning has been issued for Cumberland County until 7:45. Heavy rainfall has impacted much of central Cumberland County this afternoon and flooding is being reported. Be safe if out and about.

Storms are also producing lots of dangerous lightning. If you can hear thunder, you’re close enough to be struck.

The map below shows the warned areas, highlighted in green. The blue-shaded region in Morgan County is a flood advisory until 6:15 cdt.

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

Today is Sunday, July 19, 2026

In tonight’s weekly update, we’ll talk a lot about Tuesday’s severe storm risks, the system in the Gulf and what it means for us, and the potential for lower humidity the end of this coming week. Be sure and tune in!

Bringing you your tailor-made local weather forecast since 2017!

MM’s Hourly Forecast

5-Day Forecast

MM says…Scattered shrs and storms continue to dominate the forecast. A front may bring severe storms on Tuesday but it also brings less humidity by Thursday!

6-10 Day Temp & Precip Outlook

MM’s Weather Worries

MM’s Wx Analysis

Unsettled weather remains in place in our neck of the woods, as high humidity and hot afternoons work together to produce scattered shrs and storms.

Canadian wildfire smoke will push into the Midwest, worsening air quality. A frontal system brings severe storms from the Northern Plains to the Mid‑Atlantic the next few days. Heavy Gulf Coast rain is possible as we closely monitor tropical development, while monsoonal storms persist in the Southwest with heavy rainfall. Hazardous heat expands from the Plains into the Lower Mississippi Valley.

The tropical system in the Gulf now has an 80% chance of becoming a tropical depression or low-end tropical storm. It now looks as if it will move more westward and impact coastal Lousiana, Alabama, and the panhandle of Florida. Guidance keeps it under 45 mph at its strongest.

On This Day

New episodes coming this week!

Farmer’s Almanac Gardening

MM’s Aches-n-Pains Forecast

MM’s Pollen Forecast

Yesterday’s Local Weather Stats

The Crossville Airport is the official reporting station for the plateau.

Yesterday’s Storm Reports

Saturday’s severe storms did indeed adversely impact the Northeast. Each blue dot is a wind damage report.

Radar-Estimated Precip from Yesterday

Drought Conditions

This graphic is released to the public every Thursday.

Overall, much of the state improved with this update! Last week, 82% of our state was in drought. This week, only 55% of our state is in drought. That’s aa incredible improvement! Here on the plateau, results are mixed. Portions of our northern areas have been removed from drought, while other, including nearly all of Cumberland County, remain in severe drought.

Last week’s map for comparison.

Space Stuff

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Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings.