Issued Aug 1, 2026

Clouds are holding tight and, despite adequate wind shear and moisture, storms just aren’t finding enough of a reason to grow vertically into the atmosphere overhead. If sun could come out more, storms would erupt more.

Radar trends are showing more shower and thundershower activity breaking out across Middle TN at this hour. That’s good! That’s keeping the severe weather threat down (versus sunnier skies and a destabilizing atmosphere).

My concern is improving! Trends are currently in our favor!

The only change I made to this graphic from this morning is to shorten our window of opportunity for severe storms. It’s now from now until 7:00 pm. Rain chances remain very elevated this afternoon, as is evident by radar at this hour.

I reduced the tornado threat for this update. The Storm Prediction Center has considered issuing a watch for our area, but they are yet to do that. They had said there was a 40% chance for getting a watch.

As always, I’ll keep an eye on things. While my concern is decreasing, we still need to remain weather-aware, even for the isolated risk for a severe storm. That one storm matters if it’s in your backyard.

You all take care!

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

Issued Aug 1, 2026 at 1:15 pm

We need to be weather-aware through the rest of the afternoon and into the evening. A cold front will be moving across Tennessee, leading to a risk for storms, some of which could be severe. An isolated tornado can’t be ruled out.

The Storm Prediction Center issued a special statement saying there’s a 40% chance for a severe t-storm watch being issued this afternoon. It just depends on how much cloud cover holds in place this afternoon. If we get any sun, that will destabilize the atmosphere and increase the chances for severe storms. If clouds can hold, our chances stay lower.

A flash flood threat continues through today, as well.

My concern is unchanged from this morning. I’ll keep you posted on this.

The hourly forecast is right on track. I didn’t have to change a thing since this morning’s update.

Everything is still on track with this graphic, as well. All threats are low, but certainly not zero. The flash flood threat is of medium concern.

I’ll keep an eye on things through the day and evening and let you know if there’s anything you need to know about!

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

Today is Saturday, Aug 1, 2026

12:35 Update: The Storm Prediction Center has issued a special discussion that includes parts of the plateau. They are considering a severe t-storm watch. There’s a special NWS briefing at 1:00 that I’ll listen in on.

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MM’s Hourly Forecast

5-Day Forecast

MM says…Wetter & stormier weather has returned!

6-10 Day Temp & Precip Outlook

MM’s Weather Worries

This will be the first event where I get to try out the new MM Concern Meter! See how my concern changes throughout the day!

MM’s Wx Analysis

An unseasonably strong storm system (more like a late spring system) will bring rain and storms to the Ohio and TN valleys today. Severe storms, including the risk for tornadoes, and flash flooding are all threats that this region will face have to watch out for today.

On This Day

New episodes each week!

Stay tuned for my coverage in the coming months of the Nancy Grace Roman telescope and the launch of Crew-13! I’ll be down at the Space Coast with my NASA press pass covering it all for ya!

Farmer’s Almanac Gardening

MM’s Aches-n-Pains Forecast

MM’s Pollen Forecast

Yesterday’s Local Weather Stats

The Crossville Airport is the official reporting station for the plateau.

Yesterday’s Storm Reports

Radar-Estimated Precip from Yesterday

Drought Conditions

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Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

This is Friday evening, July 31, 2026

Saturday will be a weather-aware day for severe storms and flash flooding.

Please be sure and scroll down to the bottom for my very exciting news from today!

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MM’s Wx Summary

I’ll have this updated in the morning, as well. Right now I’m most concerned with severe storms in the afternoon hours. If you have outdoor plans, just be prepared in case a storm blows up. Some of you may not see anything in the afternoon, while others may see a potent storm.

Confidence is looking good for the five day forecast. The only question I have right now concerns storm coverage and intensity for Saturday afternoon and evening.

MM’s Wx Analysis

My threat levels remain unchanged from this morning’s update. I’ll have a fresh update on this in the morning. I feel confident that these threat levels will change very little, if any.

I’ll be using my concern meter for the first time tomorrow! You’ll be able to see if I’m feeling better, worse, or staying the same through the day.

Saturday’s weather map is a busy one! Heavy rain and severe storms affect an area from the Gulf Coast to Chicago.

The jet stream has stayed consistent in the model data for the past several model runs. Strong winds aloft and warm, humid air here at the surface could lead to severe storms Saturday afternoon.

I did a modeled weather balloon launch for the plateau for Saturday afternoon and the most concerning thing to me is the bit of wind shear that we’ll have. That could be just enough for an isolated spin-up tornado.

MM News

I was SUPER excited to learn today that I have been approved for a NASA press pass to cover the launch of the Nancy Grace Roman Telescope set for August 24!!! This telescope may be the one to discover other life in the univers, whether it be microscopic…or else! I am so excited to be going to this and I can’t wait to share it all with you!

I also found out that I get to cover the launch of Crew 13 in mid-September!!! This will be my first crewed launch to ever see and I am beyond excited to have this opportunity! Stay tuned for MUCH, MUCH more to come!

I made a YouTube video with more info about my exciting opportunity!

I have a new episode of Weather and War out this week about Lookout Mountain, TN, during the Civil War!

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Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings.