I am a local meteorologist for the Upper Cumberlands of Tennessee. I absolutely love tracking and forecasting the weather for this region! It is certainly an interesting place for weather!
If you ever want to talk weather you have found an ear! I hope you enjoy reading my blog as much as I enjoy writing for it!
Our cold front from Saturday continues to slowly push eastward. If this were a wintertime cold front, it would be well out to sea by now! ha Summer fronts are slow and lazy, so they take their time. Still, we’re close enough to it to see soe showers and maybe even a storm today.
Don’t be fooled by the better weather to our west. The front will become stationary and start drifting back to the north tomorrow, bringing a continued risk of showers and storms each day this week.
The Crossville Airport is the official reporting station for the plateau.
Yesterday’s Storm Reports
Radar-Estimated Precip from Yesterday
Night Sky
Stay tuned for my coverage of the Roman telescope launch and the launch of Crew 13! I’ll be there with my official NASA press pass!
Stay tuned for my coverage in the coming months of the Nancy Grace Roman telescope and the launch of Crew-13! I’ll be down at the Space Coast with my NASA press pass covering it all for ya!
Drought Conditions
This graphic is released to the public every Thursday.
Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.
Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings.
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5-Day Forecast
MM says…Chances for showers and storms will be with us each day. As we get closer to each day, rain chances will likely vary from 50% – 70%.
Confidence in getting shrs and storms on the plateau is high, but the coverage and timing is a bit more uncertain. Most showers and storms this week will likely be driven by the heat of the day and will therefore be more numerous in those afternoon and early evening hours.
MM’s Weather Worriesfor the Week
MM’s Wx Analysis
This is a satellite image of our system on Saturday. That is a classic cyclone! It’s also unseasonable, meaning it’s something we don’t expect this time of the year.
That system led to showers and storms on the plateau Saturday afternoon and evening, with some of those storms being severe. I took this picture later in the afternoon. I drew a line to show the tilt of the updraft. Stronger winds aloft cause that updraft to tilt, helping the storm grow stronger.
This is a textbook diagram showing what I’m explaining. Rain falls ahead of the updraft when it’s tilted, allowing the storm to function better. If the updraft isn’t tilted, such as with typical summer storms, the falling rain interferes with the updraft, choking the storm.
Those faster winds aloft also cause the air to roll, such as seen below. Faster winds on top of slower winds cause the rolling motion.
If a thunderstorm can tilt that rolling motion upward by injesting it into the updraft, it may develop a rotating updraft that could produce a tornado.
Such as what we saw in the Vandever community of Cumerland County. Video is critical, as you can see the rotation. Still pictures are often very difficult to discern. I love a good video showing rotation. I have the video on my Facebook page if you’re interested in seeing that.
This was a very challenging situation, as there was never a watch issued, never a strong storm advisory, and never a severe t-storm or tornado warning. Still, I think we persevered through those challenges as well as we could. I also learned more lessons that I will carry with me for next time. Once again, we’ve had a weak, brief spin-up without a warning.
I am thankful that I was able to give you all a heads up about severe weather when I did the Wednesday night check. The threat timeframe worked out well, as well. It was a weather alert day and an usual one at that! This isn’t supposed to be the weather we get in August! If it had gotten sunnier, I have no doubt we would have had a tornado outbreak.
I want to thank Cyrstal Bruce for sending me the video. I also want to thank others of you who took the time to send me messages because you were worried about the way storms behaved in your neighborhood. One gentleman messaged me from Banner Springs saying he had a wind shift and a freight train sound. Later in the evening, someone else sent me video of a funnel cloud, possible tornado, from Deer Lodge. I appreciate these reports, as they are very helpful!
Exciting MM News This Week!
I’m still so excited about this and I will be for a long time to come! ha I’m also headed to Oklahoma this week with my National Science Foundation crew from TTU to visit Cherokee museums. The plan is to also meet with some folks from the Cherokee Nation of Oklahoma.
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Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.
Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings.
We have a lot to talk about in tonight’s in-depth weather check for the week ahead, especially concerning the interesting weather we had Saturday! I’ll see ya this evening!
A powerful area of low pressure in the Midwest continues to bring active weather for the Ohio and TN Valleys today. The system is in no hurry to leave!
Stay tuned for my coverage in the coming months of the Nancy Grace Roman telescope and the launch of Crew-13! I’ll be down at the Space Coast with my NASA press pass covering it all for ya!
Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.
Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings.
Folks, this line is looking much better and is having trouble navigating the plateau. That is good news.
I don’t foresee having any more issues with severe weather today. This line will continue moving across the plateau and should continue this slow weakening trend.
This should be my last update for the evening. You all take care.
Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.
Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings.
