Issued July 10, 2026

Well, if you have weekend outdoor plans, I would seriously reconsider them. If you insist on carrying through with your plans, just know that there could be periods of rain and storms and you will need to be near sturdy shelter in case a severe storm blows up where you are. You will also need to be aware of the dangers of flash flooding.

We’ll be most mindful of these big complexes of thunderstorms that will develop to our west and move in our direction. Forecasting the exact time of development is difficult, as well as the exact impacts. However, all the ingredients are in place for these to develop and we just have to stay tuned to forecast updates. These complexes look like the image below on infrared satellite. Once one develops, we can then track toward us.
Like today, even if a complex of storms isn’t moving through, we could see a storm pop up at any time in this unstable, warm and humid airmass.

These systems are powered by strong winds aloft and by the cool pool of air that develops in their wake, in the rain cooled are they leave behind. That cooler air helps push the complex along, as well has helps new storms develop as the complex moves along. The colder that cooler air behind it, the faster the complex moves.

And any storm with the complex can become severe, with damaging winds always being the main severe weather threat with those storms.



Stay tuned for updates to this! I worked hard on this but just a small change in the development and movement of a thunderstorm complex can throw a wrench in this. Still, I feel pretty confident in this forecast. I’ll issue updates, as needed on the app and site and I’ll have another full forecast update in the morning!


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