Issued Saturday, July 11, 2026

Good evening, folks! We’ve enjoyed a break that, for many of us, has held through the afternoon. Those of you around Sparta have been dealing with storms afternoon, as well as you folks over in Morgan County. More storms are moving into the Sparta area even now.

The greatest risk for storms over the next hour will be across White and southern Cumberland County. There’s also a storm developing near Carthage, as well as a line of storms just behind it, that will be pushing toward Cookeville within the hour. As you can see by the radar below, more scattered showers and storms are coming for later this evening for a great many of us. Some of these storms could be strong or even severe.

Much of the activity on radar is what I was talking about in the last update that would be nearing the plateau sometime around the 6:00 hour. Rather than forming into a complex of storms, it has managed to form a few lines of storms, along with other scattered shrs and storms. In other words, it’s a bit disorganized, which reduces (but doesn’t eliminate) the severe storm threat. I’ll watch all of this closely.

Still, looking at radar, we have plenty of shower and storm chances left for this evening and even into tonight. I’ll do another special update later this evening, or as needed, to keep you updated on the latest. At this time there are no watches or warnings across Middle TN.

Thankfully, the hourly forecast continues to be on track and I haven’t made any changes since the last update.

Please stay alert to any watches or warnings that may be issued. And please stay tuned to any special updates that I may need to issue. You all take care!

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Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

Issued Saturday, July 11, 2026

I’ve updated the hourly forecast below. I made some adjustments to afernoon rain chances (decreased a bit) and increased evening rain chances.

We have a break now from the morning round of scattered showers and storms. That activity has pushed south and east of our area (pictured below). We may see a nice break for the next several hours. However, if you’re outside keep a check on the sky and the radar in case a storm pops up in the heat of the afternoon. Any storm that does could become severe.

Our next complex of storms is taking shape well to our west at this hour. That will likely push in later this evening. If most of the plateau stays rain free this afternoon, the atmosphere will only become more unstable and help energize these incoming storms. I’ll keep a very close eye on that. Right now, I would estimate these storms to be near the plateau by 6:00 pm, if they don’t speed up or slow down. But again, we’re not only watching these complexes but also for pop up storms in the heat and humidity of the afternoon. Our atmosphere is very unstable, which means any storm this afternoon could easily become severe. A flash flood watch remains in effect through Sunday.

Please stay alert to any watches or warnings that may come today. And please stay tuned to any special updates that I may need to issued. You all take care!

Local matters, especially when it comes to your weather forecast! Bringing you your local weather since 2017!

MM says, THANK YOU, Sponsors!

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

Today is Saturday, July 11, 2026

Bringing you your tailor-made local weather forecast since 2017!

MM’s Hourly Forecast

5-Day Forecast

MM says…We’re watching the radar for strong storms and torrential rainfall.

6-10 Day Temp & Precip Outlook

MM says…Extended outlooks are starting to trend wetter for our region.

MM’s Weather Worries

MM’s Wx Analysis

Today’s weather map shows a very active weather day on the plateau. Any storm that develops may become severe, with damaging winds and flash flooding being the main threats. Frequent lightning may also occur. If you’re out and about, keep an eye on the sky and radar and stay abreast of any alerts.

Elsewhere around the country, severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds will be possible from the Ozark Plateau east into the Tennessee Valley Saturday. Rounds of heavy thunderstorms ahead of a slow moving front will continue locally heavy rainfall and scattered flash flooding potential from the Ozarks to the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. Extreme heat will continue for the Intermountain West and Plains.

Sunday’s weather map shows a continued risk for flash flooding on the plateau and East TN.

On This Day

Farmer’s Almanac Gardening

MM’s Aches-n-Pains Forecast

MM’s Pollen Forecast

Yesterday’s Local Weather Stats

The Crossville Airport is the official reporting station for the plateau.

Yesterday’s Storm Reports

Radar-Estimated Precip from Yesterday

Drought Conditions

This graphic is released to the public every Thursday.

Space

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Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

Issued July 10, 2026

Well, if you have weekend outdoor plans, I would seriously reconsider them. If you insist on carrying through with your plans, just know that there could be periods of rain and storms and you will need to be near sturdy shelter in case a severe storm blows up where you are. You will also need to be aware of the dangers of flash flooding.

We’ll be most mindful of these big complexes of thunderstorms that will develop to our west and move in our direction. Forecasting the exact time of development is difficult, as well as the exact impacts. However, all the ingredients are in place for these to develop and we just have to stay tuned to forecast updates. These complexes look like the image below on infrared satellite. Once one develops, we can then track toward us.

Like today, even if a complex of storms isn’t moving through, we could see a storm pop up at any time in this unstable, warm and humid airmass.

These systems are powered by strong winds aloft and by the cool pool of air that develops in their wake, in the rain cooled are they leave behind. That cooler air helps push the complex along, as well has helps new storms develop as the complex moves along. The colder that cooler air behind it, the faster the complex moves.

And any storm with the complex can become severe, with damaging winds always being the main severe weather threat with those storms.

Stay tuned for updates to this! I worked hard on this but just a small change in the development and movement of a thunderstorm complex can throw a wrench in this. Still, I feel pretty confident in this forecast. I’ll issue updates, as needed on the app and site and I’ll have another full forecast update in the morning!

Local matters, especially when it comes to your weather forecast! Bringing you your local weather since 2017!

MM says, THANK YOU, Sponsors!

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings.