Main threats
SUNDAY-MONDAY: Strong storms are possible. Some may be briefly severe.
Summary
We should see some isolated showers around through the morning. The latest short-term model guidance suggests that we may see more isolated, light showers pop up around the plateau this afternoon and evening.
Saturday is looking better, with partly cloudy skies and warm conditions. More rain showers should move in by Saturday night, with those showers and storms sticking with us through Monday. Some of those storms could be on the strong to severe side, so I’ll be watching that closely. Damaging winds look to be the main threat.
The convective outlook issued by the Storm Prediction Center shows most of the Midstate in the slight risk for severe storms for Sunday, with the plateau right on the edge of that.
We drop back down to just a chance for a shower on Tuesday before sunny skies return Wednesday.
Another storm system may begin to threaten us with more showers and storms by Thursday. Preliminary indications are that some of the storms at that time could once again be on the strong side. It’s springtime!
WeatherTAP WeatherFACT
Have you ever wondered why we don’t just bomb hurricanes as they near our shores? I’ve actually had that mentioned to me several times in my life. It would be like spraying a water pistol at a burning sky scraper! In only ten minutes, a typical hurricane releases more energy than all the world’s nuclear weapons combined!
Records
Winter wasn’t quite finished with the folks of Eagles Nest, New Mexico on this day in 1945. It was then that the mercury there dipped to 45 degrees below zero. This established a new record low for the month of April for the U.S.! Eagles Nest has an elevation of 8, 238 feet.
On this day in 1955 a severe four-day winter storm left the town of Lead, South Dakota under 52 inches of snow! Lead is located in the Black Hills of western South Dakota.
Man, sometimes winter really fights to hold on, right?
Almanac
Yesterday’s record high: 79 (2012, 1986)
Yesterday’s record low: 23 (1987)
Today’s record high: 84 (1988)
Today’s record low: 25 (1966)
Today’s sunset: 7:05
Tomorrow sunrise: 6:18
Today’s day length: 12 hrs 45 mins 59 secs
Tomorrow’s day length: 12 hrs 48 mins 13 secs
One year ago today
It was another day in the 50s, as the afternoon high topped out at 57 degrees. The morning low as a freezing 28 degrees. No precipitation fell and winds were light from the north.
Astronomy
Sky viewing conditions tonight: POOR
Moon phase: New Moon, 0% illumination
What to look for in the night sky tonight
Too many clouds for any good viewing.
News
A research group out of Colorado State University has released their hurricane predictions for this coming hurricane season. That season begins June 1 and runs through November 30. Long-range forecasting has its challenges, but there are those who are always willing to use the best data to make a forecast that helps us prepare.
They forecast 13 tropical storms to develop, with five becoming hurricanes. Two are expected to be major hurricanes (cat 3 or higher). The average season has 12 named storms and six hurricanes, half of which become major.
Forecasting the developing on these storms is one thing, but forecasting landfall is another. We could have 20 named storms in the ocean and not one single one make landfall in the U.S. That’s a good season! Contrast that with seasons where we only saw a handful of storms, but one major hurricane makes landfall in the U.S. (Cat 5 Andrew in 1992). THOSE are the seasons we remember. It only takes one major hurricane making landfall.
In other news….
Don’t forget the benefit tomorrow at the Community Complex!
You all have a great day!
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