Meteorologist Mark

We will continue to dodge showers and storms through tomorrow. Some of the storms both today and tomorrow could be quite strong, with damaging winds and large hail being the primary threats. The tornado threat is low. It will be very warm and humid, as well, with afternoon highs in the lower 80s and overnight lows near 70.  On Friday, our rain chances drop off a bit, with continued hot and humid conditions. On Saturday, a front drops in and we have a very good chance of showers and storms, some of which could be strong. I have some good news, though. After that front clears through here on Saturday night, we will have an absolutely beautiful day on Sunday, with low humidity and highs near 80. Get out and enjoy that! Days of low humidity are rare in July and I can assure you the humidity will be dying to move back in on us (humidity just loves us here in TN).

If you want to feel grateful for the weather we have right now just think about this. On this date in 1970 the low temperature at Death Valley, CA was 103 and the high temp climbed to 120 that afternoon. And yes, that’s dry heat and not humid heat but ….120 degrees! That is HOT.  Can you imagine overnight lows of 100+ degrees?!

Speaking of heating up, the tropics are about to get going again. It looks like we could have our next tropical storm at any moment out in the Atlantic.  The next named storm will be Don. Some models curve it out to sea, and others bring it closer to the US. It’s definitely something to watch over the next week.

First of all, I hope you’re having a wonderful 4th of July week! If you have outdoor plans, please keep an eye on the radar and the sky. We will be dodging scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some of these storms could be strong, maybe even briefly severe, both this afternoon/evening and Tuesday afternoon/evening. I’m already seeing a complex of showers and t-storms moving into west TN. Those storms are showing more organization and I don’t see why they wouldn’t be able to thrive in this hot and humid environment. Those would be getting to the plateau later this afternoon, probably around 3:00 or so. So, again, this isn’t going to be a total washout either today or tomorrow, but you definitely need to be mindful of these scattered storms. Hopefully, the 4th of July fireworks won’t be affected too much. Below is the radar at about 9:00a.m.  Notice those storms near Memphis, moving east.

Looking ahead to Wednesday through Friday, we’ll still be dealing with scattered afternoon/evening storms, with the greatest chance being Thursday, the least chance being Friday. We’re also watching the tropics. There’s a system waaayyyy out there, so we’ve got a week to watch it. It will likely become our next named storm. It bears watching.

 

We continue to have a chance for showers and storms for your Saturday. The best chances of storms comes this afternoon and evening. Some of those storms could be rather intense, so be aware of that. Of course, all storms pose a lightning risk and that is always something to look out for. Sunday looks much drier and many of us won’t see any rain on Sunday. Monday and Tuesday is back to typical isolated to scattered showers and storms. These heat-of-the-day storms usually die off at sunset, so hopefully that will be the case on the 4th of July of fireworks festivities.

At 11:05 a.m we’re seeing some storms developing south of Nashville that will be moving toward the plateau over the next few hours. Just keep an eye to the sky and if you hear thunder, go indoors.

 

We certainly were lucky at the picnic yesterday! Thankfully, we only had to deal with one good shower and then it was an absolutely beautiful evening for a picnic! Today, there’ll be many more showers and storms around. I’m also keeping an eye on a system west of us that may bring some storms late this evening.  If this holds together, we could be dealing with some strong storms tonight.

Radar at 8:45 a.m.

That’s pretty much the way tomorrow is going to be too. We just have to be mindful of showers and storms. They won’t last all day and not everyone will get them. Unlike yesterday, today and tomorrow’s storms will have a lightning threat, so always be on the lookout for that. Nailing down particular timing of storms on Saturday is difficult, at best, but later in the afternoon and evening will be the best chance of seeing those.

On Sunday, things look drier, though we still can’t rule out an afternoon/evening shower or storm with the heat and humidity that will be around. Highs today and through the 4th will be in the low 80s but the humidity will be really high. At this time, it looks like the forecast for both Monday and Tuesday will feature hot and humid weather, with isolated afternoon/evening storms. That means that fireworks celebrations should be ok, as t-storm activity usually dies down significantly at sunset. I’ll keep an eye on it, though!

Don’t forget to check https://meteorologistmark.com/ for weekend updates on the weather! I basically post my weather blog posts that you see here to that site through the week, so that others outside of TAP can see it, but you can’t get weekend updates here, so I post them on my personal blog. You can also follow me on Facebook!

Below is a pic I took over Lake Tansi during our picnic. We couldn’t have asked for better weather! You all have a great weekend!