The severe t-storm warning continues for Putnam, White, and Van Buren counties until 9:00 pm.

The line continues to slowly weaken but the gust front ahead of the storms is what has prompted the warning. As this line moves across the plateau later this evening, we’ll likely see a burst of gusty winds with that gust front. Hopefully, they’ll weaken to levels where a warning isn’t needed. Remember, a severe t-storm is for winds greater than 58 mph. If the NWS thinks we might have a gust of that magnitude, they’ll issue a warning.

The gust front is well ahead of the precipiation, so you won’t be able to go by the radar returns to know where the gustiest winds are. These gust fronts often develop as storms collapse and weaken, which is what we’re seeing with this activity this evening.

There have been reports of downed trees but I haven’t seen anything widespread or extreme reported. It’s mostly a downed tree here and there.

I’ll keep watching it!

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Good evening, folks. A line of strong to severe storms is pushing through the Nashville-Lebanon area at this hour. The latest severe t-storm warning is for Putnam, White, and Van Buren counties until 9:00 pm.

These warnings are for winds to 60 mph and hail to 0.88″ (1″ is considered ‘severe’ criteria). The lowest criteria for a warning is 60 mph winds. Still, we’ll monitor these and hope they continue to weaken as they move toward the plateau.

This line of storms has weakened a bit over the past hour but these storms are still packing a bit of a punch. There is no rotation in these storms. There are also no watches in effect, but some warnings are certainly possible, just as we’re seeing now.

I’ll keep an eye on things.

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Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

Issued Thursday, April 16, at 1:15 pm.

A special NWS briefing at 1:00 just reinforces my belief that this evening’s severe storm is a very low threat. It is much more likely that storms will weaken before reaching the plateau later this evening.

Still, we’ll err on the side of caution and call it a Meteorologist Mark Weather Alert Evening. The main risk is from a damaging straight-line wind gust. I’d say the probability of a severe storm is about 20%.

As always, I’ll keep a very close eye on things. We need the rain, as this morning’s drought update shows nearly all of the plateau in severe drought conditions.

These graphics are unchanged from this morning.

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Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

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Issued Thursday morning, April 16, 2026

There is a low-end risk for a severe storm today and this evening. I’ll keep you posted. There’s a special 1:00 briefing with the NWS this afternoon and do a special update after that to give you all the latest info.

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MM’s Level of Concern

MM’s Forecast for the Plateau

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This forecast is tailor-made for the Cumberland Plateau by Meteorologist Mark Baldwin each day!

The Storm Prediction Center has decided to put Tennessee in the marginal risk for severe storms for today and this evening. I think this is probably overdone, but we’ll be mindful of today’s weather just in case. The threat is very low-end.

Hopefully we’ll all get some rain from this system, though that’s not looking too impressive either. Still, a quarter of inch would be nice.

Friday will likely bring another wildfire risk as humidity levels drop again. It will also be a very warm day on the plateau.

A much stronger front moves in Saturday night with better rain chances. Some of us may see up to half an inch of rain with this system (hopefully those totals trend upward). That system leaves us with a nice Sunday but a very chilly Sunday night. Scattered frost is possible by Monday morning.

Threat Outlook

The marginal risk covers almost the entire state of Tennessee for today. The greatest risk for severe storms can be found across Arkansas and then up across New York state.

Yesterday’s Storm Reports

Wx Related Aches & Pains Forecast

Plateau Sanitation Allergy & Pollen Forecast

On This Day

Weather Stats

Radar-Estimated Precip From the Past 24 Hours

4:00 a.m. Sunday to 4:00 a.m.

Drought Monitor

This graphic is updated each Tuesday and released to the public on Thursday.

This week’s drought monitor showed drought conditions spreading and worsening.

Last week’s update can be seen below. Notice how much worse things have gotten over the past week.

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Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings.