The main line of storms is passing over the Plateau at this very hour. It should be completely off the Plateau by 2:30. I’d give it at least another hour to completely stop raining, though. Here’s a glance at the radar at 1:35pm. Storms are moving southeast. Notice that light rain remains all the way back to the other side of Nashville.
The Storm Prediction Center is considering issuing a severe t-storm watch for this line, but that should have no effect on us here on the plateau, since the line has nearly cleared us now. You may see a watch, however, issued for areas east and south of us.
For today, look for scattered t-storms. Some of these storms will have the potential to become severe, with damaging winds and hail the main threat. The tornado threat is extremely low. You can already see one line of storms building to our north if you look toward Kentucky. They’re a beautiful site to see! Also, one glance at the radar and you know we’ve got a stormy day ahead. Highs should easily reach the low 80s before storms arrive. The first line of storms should be here by 11:00am. But then we have more storms out west that will be moving in this afternoon.
On Friday, we’ll see much more islolated storms. In other words, we’ll be back to the heat-of-the-day pop up variety of storms that we’re used to getting in the summer months. Saturday will be much of the same. Highs each day will be in the low to mid 80s. On Sunday and Monday we’ll see rain chances increase again as another front approaches. This front should bring us some lower humidity for Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.
We’re also watching the tropics! It looks more and more likely that we’ll see tropical development in the southern Gulf of Mexico over the weekend. Where it goes from there is still a guess. I’ll keep you posted!
The heat is already cranking up out there today, with the temp already approaching 80 degrees and it’s not even 8:30 yet! Expect a very hot and humid day, with isolated to scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms. We don’t expect any organized severe wx, though any storm this time of year is capable of briefly becoming severe. Regardless, these summer storms usually contain lots of dangerous lightning and gusty winds. A more substantial severe wx threat will exist on Thursday. We’re not expecting much in the way of tornadoes, due to conditions just not being favorable for that kind of activity, but we could see some very potent storms roll out of Kentucky during the afternoon or evening. I’ll keep an eye on it. Right now, damaging straight line winds look to be the main threat, along with very heavy rainfall and some hail. On Friday, we go back to your typical heat-of-the-day afternoon and evening t-storms. That forecast will hold throughout the weekend. There are indications that a front will make its way through here early next week, bringing lower humidity. We’ll keep our fingers crossed!
As we all know, hurricane season started June 1. Typically, we expect development to be slow for June and anything that develops is usually in the Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico. FYI, hurricane season peaks in late August to early September. We are monitoring a disturbance that will make its way into the southern Gulf over the next several days. And that’s exactly where we’d expect any development to occur this time of year. The chance of development is small, but with the threat of a Gulf storm, we have to monitor it. Where it goes from there is anyone’s guess at this point. We have several days to monitor that. What is unusual is that a very strong disturbance has come off the coast of Africa and will be making its way across the Atlantic. It’s something to monitor because all indications are that the steering pattern will guide it right toward the Caribbean, where it becomes a concern to the US. Again, anything can happen between now and then, but we’ll monitor it. That wouldn’t be a threat until next week. Let us know if you have any questions by asking here or AskUs@weathertap.com!
Don’t forget to follow weatherTAP on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram for all the latest national weather!
We’re already seeing that high humidity this morning. That high humidity, along with that hot sun, will make the atmosphere ripe for scattered afternoon and evening t-storms. Highs both Tuesday and Wednesday will top out in the lower 80s, with lows near 70. What you get today in the weather is what you’ll get on Wednesday. On Thursday, a cold front will begin flirting with our area, and that will lead to some stronger storms. Some of Thursday’s storms could contain some hail and marginally severe winds. I’ll keep an eye on it! The heat and humidity continue for Friday through Sunday, with isolated to scattered heat-of-the-day t-storms. There are indications that a stronger cold front will come through here around Tuesday, bringing lower humidity and cooler temps. I’ll keep an eye on that too!
I hope you got to check out the International Space Station last evening? It was a site to see once again. I’ll try to keep you posted on when the next one will be. Remember, you can watch it track across the earth live at http://www.isstracker.com/, as well as get texts reminders of when it will be flying over your neighborhood at https://goo.gl/LMQKyO.
Since it is so hot and humid out today, I’ll leave you with a pic of a place that might cool you off a bit. Isn’t that beautiful? This photo was taken by Tim Sherrill, father of our very own Emily Sherrill.