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MM’s Tues Wx Forecast

Forecast issued Tuesday, January 17, 2023

Weather-Aware Days/Nights

Wednesday Night

The Storm Prediction Center has placed our area within the marginal risk for severe storms for Wednesday night. The marginal risk is the lowest of the five severe weather threat categories.

The HRRR short-term model shows a line of rain and storms (some strong?) crossing the state and the Cumberland Plateau Wednesday night. This model run begins at midnight and ends at 6:00 a.m. Thursday. Stay tuned for updates.

Weather Summary

Showers move out this morning, followed by mostly cloudy skies. A peak or two of sun can’t be ruled out for this afternoon and evening. Mild temps continue through Thursday, followed by a return to more normal temps by Friday and Saturday. A powerful storm system will bring a chance for showers by Wednesday afternoon and evening, followed by heavier rain and t-storms Wednesday night. We’ll also see gusty southerly winds to 20 mph Wednesday night. Some of the storms that night could be strong, with a small chance for a severe storm. Gusty straight-line winds are the main threat.

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Five-Day Outlook 

12-Hr Temp & Precip Forecast

9:00 a.m. to 9:00 p.m.

Rainfall Forecast

Wednesday Night Rainfall Forecast

Storm Prediction Center Threat

As mentioned earlier, the Storm Prediction Center has placed our area within the marginal risk for severe storms Wednesday night. We are on the very eastern edge of that low-end threat.

Severe Weather Safety Info

You can always find severe weather safety info at my link at https://meteorologistmark.com/severe-weather-safety/

Weather Statistics

For the period of midnight to midnight.

On This Day

1999- About 350 homes and 25 businesses receive damage from straight-line winds in Columbia. At the Shady Brook Mall, huge panes of glass at the entrance are shattered. Forty mature trees are uprooted at the Graymere Country Club. There is $400,000 in damage to the Pepsi Cola plant alone. Overall, $4 million in damages are reported in the city. Elsewhere, softball-sized hail is reported at Pulaski, damaging numerous vehicles. This is the largest known hail ever to fall in Tennessee’s history.

An F-4 tornado also hit Jackson, Tennessee, on this day. That storm caused a great deal of destruction in that area.

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