Posted on Leave a comment

MM’s Midweek Weather Update

Headlines

Falling Temps Today

Watching Another Rainmaker for the Weekend

LOCAL WEATHER 

MM’s Wx Vlog

There will be a weather forecast daily on YouTube! Be sure and subscribe to my channel for free at https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCz3zLMT7tqpb6eIaE-8YGog

This Week’s Hazards

Five-Day Outlook

Normal High: 51 deg Normal Low: 33 deg

Five-Day Weather Forecast 

Wednesday: Chance for a morning shower, then gradully decreasing clouds. Temps falling during the day.

Thursday: Mostly sunny and colder.

Friday: Partly cloudy and warmer. Windy.

Saturday: Morning showers, then mostly cloudy.

Sunday: Increasing clouds. Rain develops overnight.

Forecast Discussion & Concerns 

An unsettled pattern looks to continue for the next week to ten days. This is good news for the dry conditions that have plagued the state for some time now. There are currently no severe weather or winter weather threats in sight, just beneficial rainfall.

Winds today will be quite strong at times, ushering in colder and drier conditions. Winds will once again increase on Friday to 20+ mph ahead of our next storm system. Those winds are expected to be with us through Friday night, decreasing by Saturday morning.

Weather Stats

Weather statistics are available each day at https://meteorologistmark.com/weather-statistics/

HISTORY

On This Day 

1957 – Lee slope winds enhanced by Hurricane Nina gusted to 82 mph at Honolulu, Hawaii, a record wind gust for that location. Wainiha, on the island of Kauai, was deluged with 20.42 inches of rain, and 35 foot waves pounded some Kauai beaches, even though the eye of the hurricane was never within 120 miles of the islands.

2017 – World’s longest recorded rainbow – 8 hrs 58 min in Taipei’s Yangmingshan mountain range.

Weather history is updated for each day at https://meteorologistmark.com/weather-history/ 

REGIONALLY

Past 24-Hour Precip Totals 

Drought Outlook

The drought map updates each Thursday, so this is the latest map! Recent rainfall will likely erase all drought conditions by next week’s drought map update. For more drought info, please visit https://meteorologistmark.com/drought-info/

Estimated population in drought Areas in TN last week = 4,544,260

Estimated population in drought Areas in TN this week = 4,857,327

NATIONALLY 

Five-Day Rainfall Forecast 

Indications are that next week will bring even more beneficial rainfall that is not reflected in this 5-day rainfall forecast. Rainfall amounts beyond this period could accumulate to several inches.

Current Snow Cover Map 

Extended Temperature Outlook (December 5-9)

Extended Precipitation Outlook (December 5-9)

Hurricane Forecast 

Hurricane season ends today!

MM NEWS

MM Classes for Kids

The next MM kid’s classes will take place in January and February of 2023. The next Crossville class will take place on Wednesday, January 18 at 4:30 pm. The Clarkrange class will take place Thursday, February 2 at 5:00 pm. Registration is required. The class topic will be hail! Registration can be found at https://meteorologistmark.com/mm-kids/

MeteorologistMarkPro 

This month’s MM newsletter featured stories that include the NOAA winter outlook, an unusual November winter storm that struck the plateau, and the real story behind woolly worms. That and more are all in November’s newsletter! Subscribe today to support the MM kids classes or just try a sample for free at https://meteorologistmarkpro.com/

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, forecast discussion, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

You all have a great day and keep lookin’ up!

Make sure you “Follow” this blog to get updates in your email inbox

Posted on Leave a comment

Tuesday Night Wx Update (8:45)

A rainy and windy night is ahead for us. I think it’s safe to say that rain chances are at 100%! (ha) We needed this rainfall, so we can sure be thankful for that.

As for severe weather, our chances look very, very low. Even the severe weather across the Deep South has underperformed. With that being said, folks across parts of the Deep South are still having a rough evening.

We remain highlighted in the marginal risk for severe storms overnight. That’s the lowest of the five severe weather risk cateoriges. A low chance, but not a zero chance.

Be prepared for the gusty southerly winds tonight. They could top 35-40 mph at times. That could lead to sporadic power outages. I’ve had some very strong gusts here at home and that wil continue through the night.

I just checked the power outage map for that state and I’m not seeing too many outages at this time. Hopefully that stays true. To access that map just go to https://poweroutage.us/area/state/tennessee and scroll over the counties to see the number of outages in each county. There are a few outages in Fentress County at this hour.

If we see stronger storms they will likely come in the 1:00-3:00 a.m window. Keep your weather radios on just in case.

I’ll update again, as needed.

Posted on Leave a comment

Tuesday Upate (4:15)

Rain has moved in a couple hourse earlier than expected, but that should help keep our severe threat lower. Nevertheless, I’ll continue to monitor the situation through the evening.

Much stronger storms are to our south and those strongest storms are expected to stay well to our south.

Don’t be surprised if you hear thunder this evening. Severe storms are not expected with this batch of rain moving through now.

Right now, the risk for any stronger storms looks to come after midnight, though that risk continues to look very low.

The latest short-term model runs show some storms coming around the 2:00 a.m. hour. Those are the ones that could contain gusty winds, small hail, and heavy rainfall. I’ll watch it all very closely.

Look for more updates through the evening.

Posted on Leave a comment

Tuesday Lunch-Hour Wx Update

Strong to severe storms are still expected today across parts of the Deep South and Lower Mississippi River Valley. The greatest concentration of severe storms is expected across Mississippi, where a significant severe weather threat exist today.

As we get later into today, storms will move east and weaken. That is good news for us! We still can’t rule out a strong storm or two overnight, but our overall severe threat looks low. That threat increases as you get closer to Nashville and across West TN. Our atmosphere will MUCH more stable than theirs overnight.

With different rounds of showers and storms, our threat will be with us through the night, as it looks right now. If that changes I’ll certainly let you know.

Winds will pick up here as we go through the day. Be aware that wind gust could reach 20-25 mph. Overnight, gusts could top 35 mph. Secure any loose outdoor objects, such as holiday decorations. These types of winds can also cause sporadic power outages.

We remain in the marginal risk for severe storms, which is the lowest of the five severe weather risk categories. Our threat is very low, but not zero. Nevertheless, we’ll be weather aware overnight. Make sure your weather radios are turned on, just in case. You can also download the Cumberland County EMA app in the app store for your phone.

The greatest threat is across Mississippi.

I’ll continue to monitor this closely and let you know if there’s anything you need to know about.