Today is Friday, October 9, 2026

Noon Update: A wind advisory has been issued for Saturday for all of Middle and East TN. The NWS warns of winds that could gust to 45 mph. I still expect some areas to see gusts to 50 mph. Please make sure outside loose objects are secured and that you’re prepared for sporadic power outages.

The Storm Prediction Center is about to issue the first of many tornado watches for the Florida Panhandle. Those will be extended northward into Alabama and Georgia as the night goes along. Rain bands from Isaias are already moving well inland at this hour. Isaias remains a powerful cat 3 hurricane, with winds of 120 mph.

I’m headed to York Elementary this afternoon to talk about weather with all the fourth graders! ha We couldn’t have timed this better, right? lol

There is a special NWS briefing at 1:00 that I’ll listen in on. I’ll let you know if there’s anything you need to know about. Otherwise, look for more special updates as we go through the evening. You all know I won’t take my eyes off this thing until it’s gone.

I’ll keep a close eye on Isaias and issue special updated, as needed.

The latest track update brings the storm center even closer to the plateau.

I updated the forecast below, to add 15 mph gusts today. Winds are overperforming today, with gustier conditions than forecast this morning.

MM’s Hourly Forecast

The hourly forecast for Saturday below may need some adjustments. We may not get as much of an afternoon break as I thought this morning. With the storm center tracking even closer, those rain chances may need to be raised to at least 70% in future updates. I’ll monitor trends. Just FYI.

5-Day Forecast

MM says….Secure any loose outdoor objects before the winds get here! Prepare for sporadic power outages.

MM’s Weather Worries

This is unchanged from the morning update.

MM’s Aches-n-Pains Forecast

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Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

Today is Friday, October 9, 2026

I’ll keep a close eye on Isaias and issue special updated, as needed.

11:00 a.m. Update: A wind advisory has been issued for Saturday for all of Middle and East TN.

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Rain bands are already coming onshore. It’s going to be a long night for a lot of folks in the Southeast.

MM’s Hourly Forecast

I went ahead and started working on Saturday’s hourly forecast, seen below. Stay tuned for adjustments.

5-Day Forecast

MM says….Secure any loose outdoor objects before the winds get here! Prepare for sporadic power outages.

6-10 Day Temp & Precip Outlook

MM’s Weather Worries

This is unchanged from last night’s special update.

MM’s Wx Analysis

All eyes are on the Southeast, with Hurricane Isaias.

Forecast confidence is now high with this forecast track.

And forecast confidence is high with this track through Middle TN. Notice we stay to the right of the center, meaning we get the gustier winds, heavier downpours, and the isolated tornado threat.

On This Day

Bird Migrations

MM’s Aches-n-Pains Forecast

MM’s Allergy Forecast

Yesterday’s Local Weather Stats

The Crossville Airport is the official reporting station for the plateau.

Yesterday’s Storm Reports

Radar-Estimated Precip from Yesterday

Night Sky

Drought Conditions

This map updates each Thursday.

Last week’s update can be seen below, for reference.

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Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

I am continuing to monitor Isaias and the potential impacts to the plateau this weekend. You may watch the YouTube update below or simply scroll down for the graphics (or both!). Thank you!

The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center tells us that Hurricane Isaias has winds of 100 mph. This makes Isaias a cat 2 hurricane. Additional strenghening is possible before landfall along the coast Friday night.

The current forecast has the storm tracking just west of the plateau on Saturday. This places us in a favored region for the gustiest winds, heaviest rainfall, and the risk for an isolated tornado. This is very similar to the path that was forecast last night. This morning, guidance shifted the track a bit farther west. It has now been shifted back toward the path that was forecast last night (and one that I have much more confidence in). Other slight adjustments may be needed as we go over the next 24 hours, but confidence is building in a path very similar to this.

Keep in mind that right-front quadrant is the portion of the hurricane with the most impactful weather. That’s where the gustiest winds, the heaviest rain, and the highest tornado threat is.

The hourly forecast for Friday shows showers developing after midnight, leading to a very wet Saturday morning.

These are the impacts I’m currently expecting on the plateau. I have adjusted the main threat timeframe again for this update. As more info becomes available, I may be making more adjustments to this graphic, but I don’t expect to make major changes. Please stay tuned.

And we’ll track my concern level during the day Saturday to see how I’m feeling about things.

Confidence is increasing.

And with the storm and it’s changing pressure, we’ll be monitoring those aches and pains.

As you know, I’ll be keeping a very close eye on things. I’ll let you know as watches and advisories are issued. I’ll also keep an eye on it all and let you know if there’s anything you need to know about! You all take care.

lsaiais is such a large storm! We can already see the leading edge of its clouds on the southeastern horizon right now. Those clouds will gradually continue moving in over the next 24 hours.

I took this picture a few minutes ago from Cumberland County, looking southeast. Step out and see if you can see them too!

The satellite image below shows the far-reaching effects of those clouds.

As a reminder, I’ll have a special update coming at 7:00 to give you the latest on my thoughts! The storm is now a cat 2, with 100 mph winds.