Issued Sunday Evening, March 8, 2026

Severe Storms May Threaten the Area Wednesday

As we are now about 72 hours from our next severe weather threat, I wanted to give you an update on the latest. A powerful storm system will move across the country this week. By Wednesday, that system will impact our region. As with all strong cold fronts this time of year, this one will need to be watched closely. Is it certain we’ll see severe weather? No. But this is a good time to review your severe weather safety plan and think about your plans for Wednesday afternoon and evening.

In the wake of the Wednesday front, we’ll be MUCH colder. In fact, we could see snow flurries Thursday morning. Friday morning will bring widespread frost.

All threats currently look to be on the table Wednesday. Today’s guidance looks better than yesterday’s did, so we’ll hope that trend continues. I’m currently not too impressed with the wind fields. Yes, there’s a lot of shear, but I’ve seen situations like these where there was too much shear. I also have questions about a Wednesday morning batch of rain and t-showers that could stabilize our environment and really help us out. That’s a story as old as time, right? ha If we get more clouds and showers…we will be in much better shape.

So, let’s say I have a concern that spans from 1-5, with 5 being the most concerned. Yesterday, I would have said my level of concern for Wednesday was 4. Today, I would say it’s barely a 3. Again, let’s hope that the data that comes in tomorrow and Tuesday continues to look good for us and I can continue to lower my concern.

So, there’s still much to watch between now and Wednesday and hopefully additional guidance in the coming days lowers the concern. Still, with such a potent cold front coming through it would be surprising if we escape without a single severe storm on the plateau. And if that one storm is over your neighborhood, that’s the only one that matters.

I’ll keep a very close eye on things and have a full update in the morning! You all have a nice Sunday evening!

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Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

Issued Sunday morning, March 8, 2026

Make sure you moved your clocks ahead an hour! Also, check the batteries in your smoke detectors and weather radios.

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Local 5-Day Forecast for the Plateau

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This forecast is tailor-made for the Cumberland Plateau by Meteorologist Mark Baldwin each day!

A cooler Sunday with some showers.

It may be cooler, but we’re still above average on high temps. Hopefully, we’ll see a peak of sun before sunset. Meanwhile, we’ll see patches of drizzles and a few scattered showers.

Monday is looking pretty good, though we will see clouds. The rain should hold off until after dark. Those showers persist into Tuesday.

Winds pick up on Wednesday as our next storm system blows. This one has some kick! High temps in the 70s on Wednesday, combined with a potent storm system, will create conditions favorable for severe storms. The exact timing is yet to be determined. That system is followed by much colder air. Late Wednesday night, any leftover showers will turn to snow showers, which will persist into the morning hours of Thursday. Winds will shift to the northwest on Thursday, gusting to 25 mph.

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Threat Outlook

Another storm system the middle of next week may bring severe storms to the area on Wednesday. That system will be followed by much colder air, which will include frosty mornings.

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Wx Related Aches & Pains Forecast

6-10 Day Temp & Precip Outlook

On This Day

Weather Stats

Drought Monitor

This graphic is updated each Tuesday and released to the public on Thursday.

Radar-Estimated Precip From the Past 24 Hours

Current Snow Depth

US Landmass Covered by Snow Today: 15%

US Landmass Covered by Snow Yesterday: 20%

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Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

Issued Saturday, March 7, 2026

I will issue special updates, as needed.

The line of storms is moving through without causing troubles and we can be thankful for that. As the line moves in, you’ll likely feel a very cool rush of wind ahead of it. That cool rush of wind is the cool outflow of air ahead of the line. That cool air has been a big hindrance to the storms becoming severe. This cool outflow is a result (in part) of a lack of directional shear (change with wind direction with height). We can be thankful for that! Shear is so important for severe storms to thrive and without it, well, storms just can’t become as severe as they would otherwise be. It’s not just about being unusually warm and humid for this time of year…there’s MUCH more to the equation that needs to come together to get bad storms.

I’ll continue to watch this closely, but I don’t expect to have to issue any additional updates. Be safe on the wet roads if you’re out and about this evening.

The line is crossing the plateau, wiht little in the way of reds showing up. That’s great news! I’m also liking all the beneficial rainfall to come this evening.

Be sure to follow this site and/or download the free Meteorologist Mark app from your app store to get updates about the weather of the Cumberland Plateau sent to your phone as soon as I send them out. Thank you all so much!

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Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

Issued Saturday, March 7, 2026

I will issue special updates, as needed.

The line of storms that I’ve been tracking for a hundred years….I mean…tracking since this morning (ha) is finally moving onto the plateau. Thankfully, storms remain below severe limits. In fact, I haven’t seen a warning since the line moved through West TN (has there even been a warning since the Mississippi River?). That’s wonderful news!

How often do we get into the 70s in March and have a cold front pass through without severe weather? The answer is…not often at all! lol

So, the line is finally moving in and, so far….so good. I’ll keep an eye on things and issue any updates that may be needed. I’m loving the beneficial rainfall that is coming! We’re in for a pretty wet Saturday evening. Be safe on the wet roads if you have to be out and about this evening.

Storm are crawling east at about 25-30 mph. We may still get gusty winds, heavy downpours, and lightning.

I have lowered our threats with this update. Our threats remain low but not zero, therefore we will remain weather aware through the evening.

Be sure to follow this site and/or download the free Meteorologist Mark app from your app store to get updates about the weather of the Cumberland Plateau sent to your phone as soon as I send them out. Thank you all so much!

Thank You, Sponsors!

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings.