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Remembering the Nov 10, 2002 Tornadoes

On this date 24 years ago, one of the most devastating tornadoes in Cumberland County history struck the Crossville and Lake Tansi communities, forever changing the lives of many local families. A deadly tornado also struck Morgan County, claiming seven lives in the Mossy Grove community.

November 10, 2002, was an unusually warm day across Middle Tennessee. Crossville reached a record high of 75 degrees as warm, moist air surged northward ahead of an approaching cold front. The atmosphere became increasingly unstable, setting the stage for a major tornado outbreak. I remember visiting my grandparents the night of the 9th (I was home that weekend from college) and the southerly winds were so gusty outside! Those southerly winds helped push a tremendous amount of warm and moist air into our region.

The initial concern was for a squall line to come through late that Sunday evening. However, conditions became favorable for isolated supercells earlier in the evening, prompting tornado watches to be issued.

And indeed, that Sunday evening brought several powerful supercell thunderstorms to the region. At approximately 9:32 p.m. CST, a violent thunderstorm produced an F-3 tornado southwest of Crossville. Normally, our strongest tornadoes come from isolated supercells. This one, however, was within the squall line. FYI, recent research has brought many more such tornadoes into the spotlight…powerful tornadoes embedded in squall lines.

The tornado traveled northeastward for approximately 16 miles, reaching a maximum width of 1,000 yards — more than half a mile wide!

Some of the worst destruction occurred along Lantana Drive, Dunbar Road, Lone Wolf Circle, and Pigeon Ridge Road. The tornado devastated portions of the Lake Tansi and Lake Mohawk communities before continuing northeastward across Highway 127.

The destruction was tremendous. According to National Weather Service records, 33 homes and mobile homes were destroyed, while another 128 sustained damage. Large hardwood trees were snapped, and entire homes were swept from their foundations.

Tragically, four Cumberland County residents lost their lives and 29 others were injured.

Thankfully, the National Weather Service issued a tornado warning for Cumberland County at 9:31 p.m., specifically indicating that the tornado-producing storm was expected near Crossville around 9:45 p.m. The four fatalities occurred around that time, approximately 14 minutes after the warning was issued.

What I think played a role in the strength of this tornado was the development of a secondary warm front that was draped across Cumberland County when this squall line arrived. This warm front was weak, especially compared to the primary and main warm front that had lifted north earlier in the day, but I think this warm front gave that storm an extra dose of spin that allowed it to become so strong. I’ll never forget watching that squall line bend into an ‘S’ shape around Tansi and thinking, “Oh no. This isn’t good at all.”

The November 10 outbreak was not limited to Cumberland County. Numerous tornadoes swept across Tennessee and surrounding states that day, making it one of the most significant November severe weather events in the region’s history.

In a historical reassessment published in 2024, the National Weather Service determined that the Crossville tornado’s damage path was longer and wider than originally documented. The revised assessment identifies it as the worst tornado in Cumberland County’s recorded history.

In Morgan County, seven lives were lost to storms. The hardest hit area was Mossy Grove. That community had always felt protected by the mountains to their west. This event showed that protection to be a myth. The storm report reads, “A strong F3 tornado (with wind speeds estimated around 175 mph) touched down 4.4 miles south of Wartburg in the Mossy Grove community killing 5 people and injuring 28. This tornado then struck Joyner at 8:40 P.M. killing two more people for a total of 7 dead. The tornado damaged 63 homes while destroying 24 others. In addition, 18 mobile homes were damaged and 12 others were destroyed.”

Twenty-four years later, November 10, 2002, remains a solemn reminder that tornadoes are not just a springtime threat in Tennessee. Our secondary severe weather season can be just as dangerous, especially when powerful storms develop after dark.

Today, we remember the lives lost and the many families whose lives were forever changed on that November night.

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Other tornados struck the area but were much weaker. An F-1 tornado hit the Grimsley area of Fentress County and was on the ground for 4.3 miles. The storm report reads, “Radar data and high resolution satellite imagery clearly indicate this was a supercell tornado in the Grimsley area of Fentress County. The tornado began west of Highway 127 and Thacker Road, then moved east damaging the businesses near the Thacker Road/Highway 127 intersection mentioned in Storm Data. Continuing eastward, the tornado blew down dozens of trees in forests and caused minor damage to homes and outbuildings along Burks Loop, Goney Road, the North Prong Clear Fork Creek, Wayman Beaty Road, Banner Roslin Road, Banner Springs Road, and Joe Rogers Road before lifting near Terry Lane. Total path length was around 4.3 miles with a path width of 200 yards. Newspaper reports mentioned some people were injured by the tornado, but Storm Data does not mention injuries and the exact number, if any, is unknown.”

Two F-0s struck Cumberland County earlier in the evening (before the F-3 hit). One storm reports states, “It’s unclear if this damage was from straight line winds or a tornado, as no NWS storm survey was conducted and 5 different supercells moved across this area during the evening of November 10, 2002. For now, with no other known damage, the path length and width were adjusted to be a brief touchdown, and the rating was lowered to F0. The time and location were also corrected to be near mile marker 325 on I-40 as indicated in NWS Nashville local storm reports. This supercell continued into Morgan County and produced the devastating F3 tornado in the Petros area.”

The other storm report says, “It’s unclear if a tornado actually occurred in this area of southern Cumberland County due to the lack of damage, but a strongly rotating supercell did move through this area at the reported time.”

As for the Cumberland County F-3, there is a storm report and an edited report. Many storm reports have been edited over the years to add additional data. Sam Shamburger at the NWS Nashville was a stickler for detail and he made sure storm reports stayed as updated and accurate as possible. Here are those reports.

“STORM DATA: An F3 tornado struck the Lake Tansi area and the southern sections of Crossville Sunday night, killing 4 people and injuring 18. Thirty-three homes and mobile were destroyed and 128 homes and mobile homes were damaged. There was damage to one public building. The heaviest damage was along Lantana Drive, Dunbar Road, and Pigeon Ridge Road. 5 homes were damaged on U.S. Highway 127 and just south of Three Creek Road. One well built home lost an entire roof and several walls. The couple, their 3 children, and a guest, huddled under a mattress in the hallway. 50 acres of hardwoods were twisted and tangled. 100-year-old oak trees were snapped like wheat straws. Mobile homes on the Ballyhoo Campground and modular homes in Lake Tansi were destroyed. The four fatalities occurred in mobile homes. A couple was killed at 298 Lantana Drive when their mobile home was lifted off its foundation and placed on another trailer. Edward, 80 and Mary Laffer 75 were killed. Another couple died at 4040 Lone Wolf Circle. Robert, 55 and Sandy Scarbrough, 52, were killed and their bodies were found across Lake Mohawk.

(Edited) SHAMBURGER (2024) – This historic, massive tornado, which is the worst in Cumberland County history, was spawned by one of at least 5 different supercells that moved across the county on this evening. Radar data and high resolution satellite imagery indicate the tornado began west of Stave Mill Road about 10.6 miles southwest of Crossville, then moved northeast across Flynns Cove Road, Lantana Road, Vandever Road, then across Lantana Drive where 2 people were killed. Continuing across the northwest side of Lake Tansi and west side of Lake Mohawk, the tornado crossed Nicholson Drive, Dunbar Road, then Lone Wolf Circle where two more people were killed. Widespread damage continued through the Parkway Estates area on Old Mail Road, Coon Hollow Road, Pigeon Ridge Road, and Davidson Road. The tornado began to weaken as it crossed Highway 127 into the Highland View area, crossing Highland Lane, Highway 70, and I-40 before lifting near McGinnis Road after approximately 16 miles on the ground. The path length and path width of this tornado were both increased based on high resolution satellite imagery. Newspapers also report at least 29 injured, while Storm Data lists 18 injured, so 29 is used here.

Thankfully, the Storm Prediction Center did a fantastic job warning everyone ahead of time. This was the thunderstorm outlook issued that day. They had been warning of this outbreak for days.

This was a picture taken of one of the tornadoes that struck Ohio from this outbreak. It’s one of the clearest tornado pictures taken that day.

This was a 3-D radar image of one of the tornadoes from this outbreak. That technology has increased by leaps and bounds since then! You all have seen me use WeatherTAP’s 3-D radar from time to time and you’ll see me use it much more often going forward, especially when I go live for severe weather coverage.

On a side note, I’ve been working with a company to provide warnings to you all through my site and app. Stay tuned for more info on that to come very soon.

Meanwhile, let’s be thankful for the quiet weather and remember all those who have been impacted by rough storms over the years in our area.

You all take care. And you know I’ll always do my best to keep you all informed on whatever may be coming our way.

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MM’s Tues Forecast & 5-Day: Cold Weather is on the Way!

Today Tuesday, November 10, 2026

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MM’s Hourly Forecast

Bringing you the local weather since 2017!

5-Day Forecast

MM says….A strong cold and rain showers move in Wednesday night, followed by much colder air! Rain amounts look like with this system, averaging around 1/4-1/2″ around the area. Snow flurries are possible by Thursday night and Friday, a hard freeze is certain. Northwest winds will make it feel even colder. Get ready to bundle up!

6-10 Day Temp & Precip Outlook

MM’s Weather Worries

MM’s Wx Analysis

The impactful cold front that will bring big changes to our weather can be seen moving south through the central U.S. Post-frontal showers will bring a cold and chilly day to the Upper Midwest. More unsettled weather can be found in New England and the Pacific Northwest. In the South, moisture from the Gulf will begin moving north today, creating a few showers across some areas of the Deep South.

The best chance for accumulating snow on Friday will be found in the highest elevations of West Virginia. Accumulating snow is also likely all along the spine of the southern Appalachians and on the northwest-facing slopes. Right now, it looks like 2-4″ snow amounts may be common above 3,000 feet in the mountains on the TN/NC border.

The percentage of the land area of the contiguous U.S. covered in snow is at 2%. Yesterday it was also 2%.

On This Day

Bird Migrations

MM’s Aches-n-Pains Forecast

MM’s Allergy Forecast

No allergies to forecast.

Yesterday’s Local Weather Stats

The Crossville Airport is the official reporting station for the plateau.

Email me at meteorologistmark@gmail.com

Yesterday’s Storm Reports

There were no storm reports filed for Monday for anywhere in the nation.

Past 24-Hours of Radar-Estimated Precip

8:00 a.m. yesterday to 8:00 a.m. today.

Drought Conditions

This map updates each Thursday.

This Week’s Night Sky

Thank You, Sponsors!

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

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MM’s Mon Forecast & 5-Day: Warm, then COLD! Maybe Snow Flurries?

Today Monday, November 9, 2026

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MM’s Hourly Forecast

Bringing you the local weather since 2017!

5-Day Forecast

MM says….Temps warming back up, before they tumble again by Thursday. And yes, we may even see our season’s first snow flurries.

6-10 Day Temp & Precip Outlook

MM’s Weather Worries

MM’s Wx Analysis

Much of the nation is quiet today, with the exception of the Northwest and Northeast corners of our country. There, some unsettled weather will bring rain showers to lower elevations and snow showers to higher elevations. Showers remain in the forecast for southern Texas, as well, though the flood threat is mainly confined to the coastal areas today. The stalling front to our north won’t make it into Tennessee before being pulled north as a warm front. The cold moving through the Dakotas today will make it here on Thursday, bringing a blast of very cold air with it.

Guidance continues so show accumulating snow for the high elevations of the southen Appalachians for Friday, which includes the Smoky Mountains. The map below shows the probability of accumulating snowfall by Friday night. This is mainly for peaks at or above 3,000 feet.

The percentage of the land area of the contiguous U.S. covered in snow is at 2%. Yesterday it was 3%.

On This Day

Bird Migrations

MM’s Aches-n-Pains Forecast

MM’s Allergy Forecast

No allergies to forecast.

Yesterday’s Local Weather Stats

The Crossville Airport is the official reporting station for the plateau.

Email me at meteorologistmark@gmail.com

Yesterday’s Storm Reports

There were no storm reports filed for Sunday for anywhere in the nation.

Past 24-Hours of Radar-Estimated Precip

8:00 a.m. yesterday to 8:00 a.m. today.

Drought Conditions

This map updates each Thursday.

This Week’s Night Sky

Thank You, Sponsors!

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

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MM’s Sunday Forecast & 5-Day: Warm, Cold, & Maybe Flurries?

Today Sunday, November 8, 2026

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MM’s Hourly Forecast

Bringing you the local weather since 2017!

5-Day Forecast

MM says….Temps warming back up, before they tumble again by Thursday night.

6-10 Day Temp & Precip Outlook

MM’s Weather Worries

MM’s Wx Analysis

Cold high pressure is in control of much of the country. The most active weather is found in southern Texas, where flooding rainfall is once again likely today. Unsettled weather with lighter precip can be found in the Pacific Northwest, New England, and the southern tip of Florida.

The map below shows the probability of accumulating snowfall. This map is for Friday. Notice that the mountains (mainly above 3,000 feet), are expecting their first snow of the season on Friday!

The percentage of the land area of the contiguous U.S. covered in snow is at 3%. Yesterday it was also 3%.

On This Day

Bird Migrations

MM’s Aches-n-Pains Forecast

MM’s Allergy Forecast

No allergies to forecast.

Yesterday’s Local Weather Stats

The Crossville Airport is the official reporting station for the plateau.

Email me at meteorologistmark@gmail.com

Yesterday’s Storm Reports

There were no storm reports filed for Saturday for anywhere in the nation.

Past 24-Hours of Radar-Estimated Precip

8:00 a.m. yesterday to 8:00 a.m. today.

Drought Conditions

This map updates each Thursday.

This Week’s Night Sky

Thank You, Sponsors!

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings.