Today is Thursday, October 8, 2026

11:15 Update: Flood watches are now in effect for northern Alabama and extreme southern Middle TN. High wind watches now cover all of northern Georgia. A special weather briefing from the NWS Nashville will take place at 1:00. I’ll be listening in!

11:30 Update: Flood watches now extend into parts of Middle TN.

While confidence has increased for the landfalling location of Hurricane Isaias, confidence in the forecast track after landfall has become lower. Additional guidance today should help clarify the path as the storm moves in our direction. I’ll keep an eye on it and I’ll issue another special update this evening to give you the latest.

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MM’s Hourly Forecast

5-Day Forecast

MM says…The weekend forecast depends on the exact track of Isaias. Please stay tuned for updates.

Additional guidance will hopefully lead to better forecast confidence in our weekend forecast.

6-10 Day Temp & Precip Outlook

MM’s Weather Worries

MM’s Wx Analysis

High pressure is control of much of the country, with the most active weather being in the Gulf.

Confidence is high in where Isaias makes landfall, but confidence decreases in knowing where it will track through the Deep South. Keep in mind that effects are felt hundreds of miles from the center, so never focus on the center.

On This Day

Bird Migrations

MM’s Aches-n-Pains Forecast

MM’s Allergy Forecast

Yesterday’s Local Weather Stats

The Crossville Airport is the official reporting station for the plateau.

Yesterday’s Storm Reports

Radar-Estimated Precip from Yesterday

Night Sky

Drought Conditions

This map updates each Thursday.

Last week’s update can be seen below, for reference.

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Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

Isaias is now a hurricane. After the regular 10:00 update, additional data came in from Hurricane Hunters, prompting the National Hurricane Center to issue a special statement at 10:30 saying the storm has now reached hurricane status. This is the first hurricane of the 2026 season. This is the latest we have ever had our first hurricane in the Gulf or Atlantic. I’ll have a full update to our forecast in the morning and the impacts we can expect here on the plateau.

I am continuing to monitor Isaias and the potential impacts to the plateau this weekend. More data is coming in by the hour, especially as recon missions have increased. You may watch the YouTube update below or simply scroll down for the graphics. Thank you!

The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center tells us that Tropical Storm Isaias has winds of 65 mph and is gaining strength. The storm will become a hurricane overnight (maybe even by the 10:00 pm advisory coming this evening). The storm should rapidly intensify in hot water and favorable atmospheric conditions. The storm is expected to make landfall on Friday as a strong cat 2, possibly low-end cat 3.

The hurricane will expand into a very large storm by the time it makes landfall, with impacts felt all across the Florida Panhandle, far from where the center makes landfall. Right now that center is expected to aim for the Mobile, Alabama area but may trend closer to Destin in future forecasts. Again, impacts will be felt far from that center.

The image below shows the storm’s current satellite presentation. I circled it so that you can find it easier. There have been big bursts of thunderstorms this evening around the center.

States of emergencies have already been issued for much of the Florida Panhandle. There are issued before hurricanes hit so that state and federal resources are ready to go as soon as they are needed. If you have travel plans to any of these counties, I strongly advise you check with the local emergency management agencies to make sure your plans don’t need to be adjusted.

The current forecast has the storm tracking just west of the plateau on Saturday afternoon and night. This places us in a favored region for the gustiest winds, heaviest rainfall, and the risk for isolated tornadoes. If this path shifts to the east and we end up west of the line, our impacts would lessen significantly.

Due to the phyisics involved with hurricanes, tornadoes often only occur in the right front quadrant. This is one reason why we track that center so closely. If you can stay out of that quadrant, you stay out of the tornado threat. That quadrant is also where the heaviest rainfall and the gustiest winds occur. This is why I am paying so much attention to the track of that center has it nears the plateau.

Earlier, the track was aimed at the Mississippi/Alabama border. Guidance has slowly shifted eastward and now has landfall more on the Alabama/Florida line. Further adjustments are possible with this track forecast.

These are the impacts I’m currently expecting on the plateau. I have adjusted the main threat timeframe again for this update. As more info becomes available, I may be making more adjustments to this graphic. Please stay tuned.

With the track adjustments that have been made today, it now looks like Sunday will be cloudy and showery and breezy.

As always, I’ll be monitoring this all very closely and I’ll issue special updates, as needed. Thank you for trusting me with your weather forecast!

Today is Wednesday, October 7, 2026

Please stay tuned for updates to the weekend forecast. The exact track of Isaias will determine our impacts here on the plateau. Confidence is increasing that we’ll see impactful weather from the system.

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MM’s Hourly Forecast

5-Day Forecast

MM says…The latest data shows impacts from Isaias arriving on Saturday, rather than Saturday night. Please stay tuned for updates! If the storm continues to speed up, we may even end up with a nicer Sunday!

6-10 Day Temp & Precip Outlook

MM’s Weather Worries

MM’s Wx Analysis

High pressure is control of much of the country, with the most active weather being in the Gulf.

Guidance continues to trend toward a landfall of Isaias on the northern Gulf Coast somewhere near Mobile, Alabama. Guidance also continues to trend toward a stronger storm. It now looks like the storm will be a cat 2, perhaps cat 3, at landfall. Anyone with travel plans to the Gulf Coast (especially the Florida Panhandle) will need to check their plans and make sure you can still go there.

As for the plateau, our impacts will be determined by where that center tracks over TN. If we remain east of the center, our impacts will be higher. If we can get west of the center, our impacts will be substantially lower. I’ll keep an eye on things.

On This Day

Bird Migrations

MM’s Aches-n-Pains Forecast

MM’s Allergy Forecast

Yesterday’s Local Weather Stats

The Crossville Airport is the official reporting station for the plateau.

Yesterday’s Storm Reports

There were no storm reports on Tuesday across the nation.

Radar-Estimated Precip from Yesterday

Night Sky

Drought Conditions

This map updates each Thursday.

Thank You, Sponsors!

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings.