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MM’s Week Ahead Forecast

Headline

Tracking our next powerful storm system

LOCAL WEATHER 

MM’s Wx Vlog

There will be a weather forecast daily on YouTube! Be sure and subscribe to my channel for free at https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCz3zLMT7tqpb6eIaE-8YGog

This Week’s Hazards

Five-Day Outlook

Normal High: 52 deg Normal Low: 33 deg

Five-Day Weather Forecast 

Monday: Partly cloudy and mild.

Tuesday: Increasing clouds and increasing wind. Rain and storms develop overnight.

Wednesday: Mainly morning rain and thunder. Temps falling in the afternoon.

Thursday: Mostly sunny and colder.

Friday: Partly cloudy and warmer.

Forecast Discussion & Concerns 

The main concern this forecast period is the chance for strong to severe storms Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. The greatest threat will stay to our west, but we’ll need to be mindful of any storms that might stay strong into our neck of the woods. This is something I’ll watch very closely.

A very cold shot of air follows this system, but temps begin warming right back up by Friday.

Storm Prediction Center Forecast

This is the severe weather outlook for Tuesday. Notice the main threats stay to our west. The orange shading is for the enhanced risk, which is level 3 out of the five severe weather risk categories.

Weather Stats & History

Weather statistics are available each day at https://meteorologistmark.com/weather-statistics/

Weather history is updated for each day at https://meteorologistmark.com/weather-history/ 

REGIONALLY

Past 24-Hour Precip Totals 

Some of us saw some beneficial rain with our Saturday night system. I recorded 0.34 inches at my house in northern Cumberland County.

Drought Outlook 

The drought map updates each Thursday, so this is the latest map! Drought conditions continue to worsen across the state. Tuesday night’s rainfall should help with drought conditions. For more drought info, please visit https://meteorologistmark.com/drought-info/

Estimated population in drought Areas in TN last week = 4,544,260

Estimated population in drought Areas in TN this week = 4,857,327

NATIONALLY 

Five-Day Rainfall Forecast 

Rainfall totals of 1.0 – 1.25 inches are expected across the plateau with our Tuesday night and Wednesday storm system.

Current Snow Cover Map 

Extended Temperature Outlook (Dec 3-7)

Extended Precipitation Outlook (Dec 3-7)

Hurricane Forecast 

Hurricane season ends Wednesday, November 30.

MM NEWS

Meteorologist Mark Kids’ Classes (MM Class)

The next MM kid’s classes will take place in January and February of 2023. The next Crossville class will take place on Wednesday, January 18 at 4:30 pm. The Clarkrange class will take place Thursday, February 2 at 5:00 pm. Registration is required. The class topic will be hail! Registration can be found at https://meteorologistmark.com/mm-kids/

MeteorologistMarkPro

This month’s MM newsletter featured stories that include the NOAA winter outlook, an unusual November winter storm that struck the plateau, and the real story behind woolly worms. That and more are all in November’s newsletter! Subscribe today to support the MM kids classes or just try a sample for free at https://meteorologistmarkpro.com/

Amazon Smile 

Remember, you can effortlessly support our mission at Creative (or your favorite charity) while you shop for the holidays by using Amazon Smile! You shop. Amazon donates. Creative benefits. It doesn’t cost you a thing and we sure would appreciate the support. That money stays right here in our local community to help those who need a hand up.

Please remember us on Cyber Monday!

Just go to Smile.Amazon.com to sign up or go to https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/community/how-to-sign-up-for-amazonsmile

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, forecast discussion, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

You all have a great day and keep lookin’ up!

Make sure you “Follow” this blog to get updates in your email inbox

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MM’s Friday Weather Update

Headline

Waiting on the next wet storm system

LOCAL WEATHER 

MM’s Wx Vlog


There will be a weather forecast daily on YouTube! Be sure and subscribe to my channel for free at https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCz3zLMT7tqpb6eIaE-8YGog

This Week’s Hazards

Saturday is looking nice, but Saturday night is looking wet and windy. Tuesday looks nice at this time, with wet and windy weather coming in that night. Timing could change with that, so stay tuned.

Five-Day Outlook

Normal High: 53 deg Normal Low: 34 deg

Five-Day Weather Forecast 

Friday: Chance for a morning shower, then partly cloudy.

Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy. Mild. Rain developing overnight. Windy. Wind gusts to 20 mph during the day, increasing to 25 mph overnight. Overnight rainfall amounts around 1 inch.

Sunday: Chance for mainly morning showers.

Monday: Partly cloudy and mild.

Tuesday: Increasing clouds and wind. Rain and storms develop overnight.

Forecast Discussion & Concerns

Our Thursday night system weakened as it moved into our area, which limited rainfall amounts to around a trace for those lucky enough to get those isolated showers. The next storm system will move in Satuurday night, with rain and wind. Some of us may even hear a rumble of thunder. That system looks to move out Sunday morning. All of us should pick up around one inch of rain with that.

The next storm system will move in Tuesday night. That system may bring the risk for some strong storms, as this system will have very mild air to work with and a more unstable atmosphere. The best chance for severe storms looks to stay to our south, but I will monitor that closely. Much colder air will follow that system.

Pictured below is the Storm Prediction Center’s storm outlook for the next 8 days. The green shading on us for Saturday (Day2) is for the risk of a non-severe t-storm Saturday night. Notice the highlighted area for severe storms on Tuesday (Day5) across the Lower Mississippi River Valley. That threat extends into West Tennessee. That’s a system I’ll track eastward into our region.

Weather Statistics

Weather statistics are available each day at https://meteorologistmark.com/weather-statistics/

History

1950- Temperature at Clarksville plummets to -2 degrees, setting a record low for the month. Nashville’s -1 also establishes a monthly record.

1970 – The temperature at Tallahassee, Florida, dipped to 13 degrees, following a high of 40 degrees the previous day. The mercury then reached 67 degrees on the 26th, and highs were in the 70s the rest of the month. 

Weather history is updated for each day at https://meteorologistmark.com/weather-history/

REGIONALLY 

Past 24-Hour Rainfall Totals

Drought Outlook 

The drought map updates each Thursday, so this is the latest map! Drought conditions continue to worsen across the state. Saturday night’s rainfall should help with drought conditions. For more drought info, please visit https://meteorologistmark.com/drought-info/

Estimated population in drought Areas in TN last week = 4,544,260

Estimated population in drought Areas in TN this week = 4,857,327

NATIONALLY 

Five-Day Total Rainfall Forecast 

Current Snow Cover Map 

Extended Temperature Outlook (Nov 30- Dec 4)

Extended Precip Outlook (Nov 30- Dec 4)

MM NEWS

Meteorologist Mark Kids’ Classes (MM Class)

The next MM kid’s classes will take place in January and February of 2023. The next Crossville class will take place on Wednesday, January 18 at 4:30 pm. The Clarkrange class will take place Thursday, February 2 at 5:00 pm. Registration is required. The class topic will be hail! Registration can be found at https://meteorologistmark.com/mm-kids/

MeteorologistMarkPro

This month’s MM newsletter featured stories that include the NOAA winter outlook, an unusual November winter storm that struck the plateau, and the real story behind woolly worms. That and more are all in November’s newsletter! Subscribe today to support the MM kids classes or just try a sample for free at https://meteorologistmarkpro.com/

Amazon Smile 

Remember, you can effortlessly support our mission at Creative (or your favorite charity) while you shop for the holidays by using Amazon Smile! You shop. Amazon donates. Creative benefits. It doesn’t cost you a thing and we sure would appreciate the support. That money stays right here in our local community to help those who need a hand up.

Just go to Smile.Amazon.com to sign up or go to https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/community/how-to-sign-up-for-amazonsmile

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, forecast discussion, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

You all have a great day and keep lookin’ up!

Make sure you “Follow” this blog to get updates in your email inbox

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

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Happy Thanksgiving

I want to wish each and every one of you the happiest Thanksgiving! I also want to thank you for trusting me with your weather. It’s a responsibility I never take lightly. Thanks to you I get to do what I love….which is talk weather and space stuff (ha). I’m thankful for you!

Headline

A Beautiful Thanksgiving Day

LOCAL WEATHER 

MM’s Wx Vlog


There will be a weather forecast daily on YouTube! Be sure and subscribe to my channel for free at https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCz3zLMT7tqpb6eIaE-8YGog

This Week’s Hazards

Five-Day Outlook

Normal High: 53 deg Normal Low: 34 deg

Five-Day Weather Forecast 

Thanksgiving: Partly cloudy and mild. Scattered rain showers likely after sunset. Total overnight rainfall amounts less than 1/4 inch.

Friday: Chance morning light showers. Additional rainfall amounts leass than 0.1 inch.

Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy. Mild. Rain developing overnight. Windy. Wind gusts to 20 mph during the day, increasing to 25 mph overnight. Overnight rainfall amounts around 1/2 inch.

Sunday: Chance for mainly morning showers.

Monday: Partly cloudy and mild.

Forecast Discussion 

Rainfall amounts have trended downward. Earlier guidance had suggested 1-2 inches of rain for the plateau from tonight through Sunday. Now, it’s looking like we may get about half that much. This is not good for our drought conditions, but we’ll take every drop we can get.

The severe threat for next Wednesday is looking less likely for us, with the main threats staying west and south of the plateau. I’ll continue to watch that closely. Much colder air will spill into the region behind that powerful storm system.

Weather Statistics

Weather statistics are available each day at https://meteorologistmark.com/weather-statistics/

History

1950- Nashville records greatest one-day snowfall for November, measuring 7.2″.

1639 – 1st observation of Transit of Venus by Jeremiah Horrocks and William Crabtree – helped establish size of the Solar System.

Weather history is updated for each day at https://meteorologistmark.com/weather-history/

REGIONALLY 

Drought Outlook 

The drought map updates each Thursday, so this is the latest map! Drought conditions continue to worsen across the state. With little rainfall expected over the next week, conditions are liable to worsen further. For more drought info, please visit https://meteorologistmark.com/drought-info/

Estimated population in drought Areas in TN last week = 4,544,260

Estimated population in drought Areas in TN this week = 4,857,327

NATIONALLY 

Five-Day Total Rainfall Forecast 

Widespread 1/2 – 1 inch total rain amounts are expected on the plateau from Thursday night to Sunday. These rain amounts have trended downward.

Current Snow Cover Map 

Areas near the US/Canada border, Lake-Effect snow areas around the Great Lakes, and portions of the Rockies will enjoy a white Thanksgiving.

Amazon Smile 

Remember, you can effortlessly support our mission at Creative (or your favorite charity) while you shop for the holidays by using Amazon Smile! You shop. Amazon donates. Creative benefits. It doesn’t cost you a thing and we sure would appreciate the support. That money stays right here in our local community to help those who need a hand up.

Just go to Smile.Amazon.com to sign up or go to https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/community/how-to-sign-up-for-amazonsmile

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, forecast discussion, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

You all have a great day and keep lookin’ up!

Make sure you “Follow” this blog to get updates in your email inbox

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

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MM’s Midweek Wx Update

Headline

An unsettled pattern begins to evolve

LOCAL WEATHER 

MM’s Wx Vlog


There will be a weather forecast daily on YouTube! Be sure and subscribe to my channel for free at https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCz3zLMT7tqpb6eIaE-8YGog

This Week’s Hazards

Five-Day Outlook

Normal High: 54 deg Normal Low: 34 deg

Five-Day Weather Forecast 

Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Continued mild.

Thanksgiving: Partly cloudy and mild. Rain showers likely by sunset.

Friday: Mainly morning showers.

Saturday: Rain developing by afternoon. Becoming windy, with evening/overnight wind gusts to 20 mph possible.

Sunday: Chance for mainly morning showers.

Forecast Discussion 

An unsettled pattern begins developing on Thanksgiving and that will give us some of our best rain chances in some time. That wetter pattern will be with us through at least Saturday night, possibly lingering into the first half of the day Sunday. Then, mild temperatures will continue to settle into the region. As our next storm system organizes over the central plains on Tuesday, we’ll watch how that whole system moves our way. There is the potential for storms by Wednesday. It is unclear how strong those storms will be, but that’s something I’ll need to monitor over the coming days.

The Storm Prediction Center is already highlighting portions of the southern plains for severe storms on Tuesday. It is possible that the severe threat will shift eastward. I’ll keep an eye on it.

Weather Statistics

Weather statistics are available each day at https://meteorologistmark.com/weather-statistics/

History

2004 – An outbreak of severe thunderstorms produced reports of 54 tornadoes across portions of Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas and Alabama. In Texas’s Hardin county, one person was killed with three injured when a tornado struck during the afternoon 

1863 – Patent granted for a process of making color photographs

Weather history is updated for each day at https://meteorologistmark.com/weather-history/

REGIONALLY 

Drought Outlook 

Drought conditions continue across the state. The drought map updates each Thursday. For more drought info, please visit https://meteorologistmark.com/drought-info/

Estimated population in drought Areas in TN last week = 4,338,497

Estimated population in drought Areas in TN this week = 4,544,260

NATIONALLY 

Five-Day Total Rainfall Forecast 

Widespread 1-2 inch rain amounts are expected on the plateau from Thursday night to Sunday.

Current Snow Cover Map 

Extended Temperature Outlook (Nov 28- Dec 2)

This milder pattern may lead to severe storms for the southern plains on Tuesday. That threat could move eastward by Wednesday, though details of that are quite unclear at this time.

Extended Precip Outlook (Nov 28- Dec 2)

MM NEWS

Meteorologist Mark Kids’ Classes (MM Class)

The next MM kid’s classes will take place in January and February of 2023. The next Crossville class will take place on Wednesday, January 18 at 4:30 pm. The Clarkrange class will take place Thursday, February 2 at 5:00 pm. Registration is required. The class topic will be hail! Registration can be found at https://meteorologistmark.com/mm-kids/

MeteorologistMarkPro

This month’s MM newsletter featured stories that include the NOAA winter outlook, an unusual November winter storm that struck the plateau, and the real story behind woolly worms. That and more are all in November’s newsletter! Subscribe today to support the MM kids classes or just try a sample for free at https://meteorologistmarkpro.com/

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, forecast discussion, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

You all have a great day and keep lookin’ up!

Make sure you “Follow” this blog to get updates in your email inbox

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings.