Tropics about to rage, while our weather sleeps

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Weather Headlines

–Cool mornings and warm afternoons continue

–No appreciable rain in sight

–Watching the tropics

Main threats

Just be careful if you’re burning anything outdoors. The fire danger is getting higher with each passing day. Burn permits will be required starting on Sept. 23.

Summary

The dry stretch of weather continues. Hopefully, we can get some better rain chances in here soon, but I’m not seeing anything of any substance for the next 10 days (at least). The only hope we might have for widespread rain would be a tropical system.

Almanac

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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Records

The hurricane that hit Miami on the 18th had made its way to Pensacola by today. The unrelenting, powerful hurricane lashed Pensacola with wind gusts to 152 mph. Winds raged in excess of 100 mph for four hours, while winds of 75 mph or more raged for 20 hours.

Tropics

The tropics remain very active and they’re liable to become even more active in the coming days.

The Houston area has been dealing with horrific flooding from Imelda and that continues today.

It continues to look like Jerry will curve out to sea, away from the US. He could be a concern for Bermuda, though.

Berm

All the other systems will need to be monitored closely. If you have plans to the Caribbean within the next week you need to watch the forecast closely.

Friday

Today’s WeatherTAP WeatherWORD

Updraft

A current of air that flows upward.

WeatherTAP WeatherFACT

Typical updraft speeds for a general thunderstorm usually range between 15-30 mph. The most severe thunderstorms may contain updrafts that can travel as fast as 60 to 100 mph! You can actually judge the updraft speed by the size of the hail that falls from the storm.

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NASA Knowledge

The spacecraft for Artemis 1 is headed to Ohio, where a team of engineers and technicians at Plum Brook Station are ready to test it out for space! The craft will be tested for endurance in extreme temperatures, with temps as low as 300 degrees below zero. They’ll also test the electronics and how well they perform alone and with the other electronics, even with the effects of electromagnetic fields.

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News

Severe thunderstorms will be possible today across the Dakotas. A few tornadoes may even spin up.

That same cold front will lead to snowfall for western Wyoming for today and tomorrow. Up to seven inches of snow may fall in those mountains.

You all have a great day and don’t forget my fundraiser tomorrow! I’ll be busy as a bee today getting everything ready!

MaylandFunraiser2019

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On track for one of the driest Septembers on record

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Weather Headlines

–Dry conditions continue, with no appreciable rain in sight

–lower humidity levels will make for comfortable nights

–Burn permits begin Sept. 23, due to dry weather

–Monitoring the tropics

Main threats

No significant threats in sight.

Summary

The dry weather continues. In fact, with lower humidity levels, vegetation will dry out even faster. This will lead to an increased fire danger. Be very careful if you must burn something outdoors. Burn permits will be required beginning Sept. 23.

Hopefully, we can get some moisture in here sooner than later. We are certainly on track to have one of the driest Septembers on record. Last year we had the wettest September on record.

Almanac

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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Records

Crossville recorded a blazing hot high of 93 degrees on this day in 1954. Nashville hit 97 degrees for a high. So, 2019 isn’t the first hot September for us all!

The eye of a hurricane passed directly over New Orleans on this day in 1947. The hurricane killed 51 people and caused 110 million dollars in damage. Two days earlier, the same storm produced wind gusts to 155 mph in Fort Lauderdale, Florida.

Tropics

We still have Hurricane Humberto spinning away in the Atlantic. That storm hit Bermuda pretty hard, with the southern eyewall of the storm hitting the island. That’s an impressive hit, considering how small Bermuda is.

We have Tropical Storm Jerry that is almost a hurricane. The National Hurricane Center is now confident the storm will spin out to sea, away from the US. I can’t help but notice that it’s path curves right toward Bermuda. How can an island so small be such a frequent target?

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And then we have a couple of other areas to watch.

The storm that hit Texas this week continues to drop very heavy rain on them. Hopefully, the flooding stays manageable.

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Today’s WeatherTAP WeatherWORD

Nowcast

A prediction of the weather that is likely in the immediate future (next few hours).

WeatherTAP WeatherFACT

In 1938, a powerful hurricane hit New England without warning. That storm killed more than 600 people. Today, such a storm catching a coastal community off guard is virtually impossible. Satellites, computer modeling, education of forecasters, etc. has improved by leaps and bounds over the past decades. In fact, today’s 72-hour forecast is more accurate than a 24-hour forecast was 40 years ago.

NASA Knowledge

On Monday, Actor Brad Pitt had the opportunity to speak to Astronaut Nick Hague. Pitt plays an astronaut in the movie Ad Astra. Hague is currently an astronaut on board the International Space Station (ISS). The two talked about what it’s like to live on the ISS.

Astronauts have continuously lived on the ISS for 20 years, testing technologies, performing experiments and developing skills that are needed to explore out even further.

ISS Downlink with Actor Brad Pitt

News

Yesterday we learned that burning permits will be required starting on September 23 for Cumberland County. Permits, if issued on any given day, will be available by phone from your local city or county fire department or online at BurnSafeTN.org. Safe Debris Burn Permits have proven to be an effective tool at making residents aware of when, where, and how it is safe to conduct a debris burn.

I’m out at the UT Experiment Station participating in the Ag-in-the-classroom today! Meteorologist Mark will be telling the third graders all about weather’s impact on agriculture. Wish me luck! (ha)

You all have a great day!

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ISS flyover at 8:33

I meant for this to go out this evening, but it accidentally published earlier today. So, here is a reminder! (ha) If you miss the ISS don’t worry. We are now on a streak where it will be visible several evenings in a row. I’ll try to remind you!

The International Space Station (ISS) will do a fly over at 8:33 this evening! The moon doesn’t rise until 9:25, so the sky will be nice and dark for the fly over.

The station will approach from the southwest (just south from where the sun sets) and will travel northward across the sky toward the northwestern horizon. In other words, it will travel in an arc across where the sun set.

The station will be visible for three minutes and will rise as high as 42 degrees up into the sky.

Pictured below is the current crew of the ISS.

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Pictured below is what the ISS looks like to the naked eye. Go out and look up!

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