Baldwin’s Friday Wx Blog for Aug 7

Try. Fail. Learn.

At a Glance

48-Hour Weather

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Threats

Widespread severe weather is not expected for the next seven days.

Baldwin’s Severe Weather Concern

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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Daily Forecast

Today & Tomorrow: Partly cloudy and hot.

Sunday & Monday: Partly cloud, hot and humid. A chance for mainly afternoon/evening showers and storms.

Tuesday – Thursday: Continued hot and humid, with scattered mainly afternoon/evening showers and storms.

Baldwin’s Hay Day Forecast

Good hay weather awaits us in the days ahead, with only isolated showers and storms. Today and tomorrow look to be the driest of the next seven days. By next week, mainly afternoon/evening showers and storms begin to increase once again.

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Almanac

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Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 112 at Eloy, Arizona

Low: 34 at Bryce Canyon, Utah and Choteau, Montana

Tropics

We have another area in the southern Atlantic to monitor in the coming days. Right now, the chance for development looks low, but any system this time of year has to be watched very closely.

FridayTropics

Today’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Heavy rainfall threatens portions of the Mid-Atlantic, while severe storms rumble across North Dakota and Minnesota. All modes of severe weather are possible.

FridayThreat

Tomorrow’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Severe storms will threaten the northern plains, especially across Nebraska and southern South Dakota.

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Sunday’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Severe thunderstorms look to threaten much of Minnesota.

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Records

On this day in 1984 El Paso, TX recorded 1.21 inches of rain in 45 minutes. That is the amount of rainfall they normally receive in the entire month of August! What’s worse is that another four inches of rain fell with that same storm, leaving portions of the downtown area under five feet of water!

Long Range Outlook 

Our region looks to border on average to above average temps in this period. Rainfall continues to look above average. This is for the 12th through the 16th.

Temperature

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Precipitation 

FridayRain

Weather Shot

“It was the weirdest, craziest feeling I’ve ever felt.” A Texas man was watching a storm roll in when a bolt of lightning struck a 50-foot pine tree in his front yard – just feet from where he was sitting. I bet that was a shocking experience! (ha)

NASA Nerdology

New results from NASA’s Juno Mission to Jupiter suggest Jupiter is home to “shallow lightning.” An unexpected form of electrical discharge, it comes from an ammonia-water solution, whereas lightning on Earth originates from water clouds. How cool is that, though?

jupiterlightning

You all have a great day!

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Baldwin’s Thursday Wx Blog for Aug 6

The expert in anything was once a beginner

At a Glance

Unavailable today.

48-Hour Weather

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Threats

Widespread hazardous weather is not expected.

Baldwin’s Severe Weather Concern

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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Daily Forecast

Today: Partly cloudy, with a chance for a shower or storm.

Friday – Saturday: Partly cloudy and hot.

Sunday: Partly cloudy, hot and humid. A chance for an afternoon/evening shower or storm.

Monday – Wednesday: Hot and humid, with chances for mainly afternoon/evening showers or storms.

Baldwin’s Hay Day Forecast

Your hay weather forecast is still looking good! Just be aware that there are slim rain chances, but many of us will stay dry.

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Almanac

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Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 115 Death Valley, California

Low: 28 at Peter Sinks, Utah

Tropics

We’re still watching that bit of a disturbance out in the Atlantic, but the chance for development is still very low.

ThursdayTropics

Today’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Heavy rainfall will threaten northern North Carolina and eastern Virginia and Maryland.

ThursdayThreat

Tomorrow’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Severe storms will threaten the northern plains.

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Saturday’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

More severe storms will threaten the northern plains.

ThursdayThreat3

Records

On this day in 1890 thunderstorms left four inches of hail covering the ground in Adair and Union Counties in Iowa. The hail drifted into six foot mounds. In some places, the hail remained on the ground for twenty- six days!

Long Range Outlook 

It’s looking warm and wet as he near the middle of August (11th – 15th).

Temperature

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Precipitation 

ThursdayRain

Weather Shot

I shared this on Facebook yesterday but I’ll share here, too. The new outlook for this hurricane isn’t a good one. Let’s hope this does not verify. If it does verify, we’ll run out of alphabet letters for naming again, like we did in 2005. That means we would have to resort to the Greek alphabet again (alpha, beta, etc). Keep in mind that this outlook does not say these storms will make landfall. If they stay out at sea, we’ll be alright. But, if only one bad hurricane makes landfall….that’s all it takes.

Eena-skVoAAX41v

NASA Nerdology

The International Space Station does more than just experiments and circle the earth, they also have some pretty cool stuff attached to their spaceship! “As the wildfire rages in Southern California, an Earth-observing instrument aboard the International Space Station was able to measure its heat and dark smoke plume.” This was from August 1, as a wildfire raged in California. Satellites can oftentimes detect remote wildfires before people can report them. This gives firefighters more time, which is so very critical in wildfire fighting.

pia23798-1041 (1)

You all have a great day!

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Baldwin’s Wednesday Wx Blog for Aug 5

He who returns from a journey is not the same as he who left

At a Glance

48-Hour Weather

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Threats

Widespread hazardous weather is not expected over the next seven days.

Baldwin’s Severe Weather Concern

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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Daily Forecast

Today & Tomorrow: Partly cloudy skies, with a chance for an afternoon/evening shower or storm.

Friday & Saturday: Partly cloudy, with just a slight chance for a shower or storm, mainly in the afternoon/evening.

Sunday – Tuesday: Warmer and more humid, with a bit better chance for a mainly afternoon/evening shower or storm.

Baldwin’s Hay Day Forecast

With only slim rain chances each day, I’ve made each day a good hay day. Of course, we’ll always dodge a storm or two in the afternoons/evenings, but most of us will stay dry each day. Extended outlooks show a warmer and wetter pattern developing. I’ll keep you posted.

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Almanac

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Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 116 at Death Valley, California

Low: 31 at Big Piney, Wyoming

Tropics

We just have one area of concern out in the Atlantic and it is looking less and less likely to become anything. You’ll also note the remnants of Isaias moving well into Canada now.

WEdnesdayTropical

Today’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

The only area of concern is across northeastern Colorado and southwestern Nebraska, where a wind and hail threat exist from storms today. The remnants of Isaias have moved into Canada.

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Tomorrow’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Widespread hazardous weather is not expected on Thursday.

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Friday’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Another quiet day.

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Records

On this day in 1843 a spectacular cloudburst near Philadelphia turned the small creeks and streams entering the Delaware River into raging torrents. As much as sixteen inches of rain fell in just three hours! Flooding destroyed thirty-two county bridges and caused nineteen deaths. It is believed that several small tornadoes accompanied the torrential rains, one of which upset and sank more than thirty barges on the Schuylkill River.

Long Range Outlook 

As we approach the middle of August, the trend looks to turn warmer and wetter.

Temperature

WednesdayTemp

Precipitation 

WednesdayRain

Weather Shot

This is satellite imagery of storms yesterday evening across northern Colorado. This is two hours of time-lapsed satellite imagery. Warnings are overlaid on the satellite, as well as the 2″ diameter hail reports. Video from Bill Line (@bill_line).

NASA Nerdology

Last week, teams confirmed that things are on schedule to begin assembling the robotic explorer that will venture to the Trojan asteroids and revolutionize our knowledge of how the solar system formed. The mission is called Lucy and should launch in October 2021. Lockheed Martin Space Systems in Denver is building the spacecraft. 

“Lucy will be the first space mission to study the Trojan asteroids, a population of small bodies orbiting the Sun “leading” and “trailing” Jupiter, at the same distance from the Sun as the gas giant. With flyby encounters past eight different asteroids – one in the Main Asteroid Belt and seven in the Trojan swarms, Lucy will be the first space mission in history to explore so many different destinations in independent orbits around our Sun.”

You all have a great day!

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ISS Flyover this evening!

The International Space Station will flyover again this evening at 8:29 pm. The station will appear in the northwest sky and disappear in the southeast sky. It will rise to 88 degrees up in the sky and be visible for four minutes. This will be a much better view than last night. The only problem will be some of these clouds hanging around.

But….

Those clouds will make the nearly Full Moon look even more impressive. It will rise at around 8:45 pm.

As always, look for Jupiter in the eastern sky after sunset. That’s the big bright star you see. Trailing a bit behind Jupiter is a fainter “star”. That’s actually Saturn. Jupiter shines 14 times brighter than Saturn. With a telescope, you can see the rings of Saturn and four moons of Jupiter (Io, Europa, Ganymede and Callisto).

August offers a real planetary treat. You can see Jupiter and Saturn in the evening after sunset, and Mars and Venus in the mornings just before sunrise. That pre-dawn sky will be quite the treat later this month!

The graphic below shows the planets and how they compare in size to each other and to the sun.

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We also have the Perseid meteor shower that will peak August 11-13, but it unfortunately coincides with a bright moon, which will really reduce the number of meteors you see. That’s why I haven’t said much about it. Still, I’ll remind you when we get closer to that time.

You all enjoy star gazing and looking for the ISS. Be sure and wave as they go by!

Pictured below was the ISS crew before Behnken and Hurley (far right) returned on Sunday. Now, only the three on the left and in the light blue suits remain until more astronauts arrive.

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