Forecast issued Wednesday, January 25, 2023

Weather Aware Times

Wind Advisory Today

A powerful storm system will bring gusty winds to the plateau today. Some gusts today could top 45 mph. Winds should begin relaxing a bit later this afternoon.

Wednesday Night & Thursday

Light snow is likely Wednesday night and Thursday. Light accumulation looks likely, especially on the western edges of the plateau. I will continue to monitor this closely.

Five-Day Outlook 

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Weather Summary

Strong winds will persist for much of today. Those winds will usher in cooler temps that will be gradually tumbling by lunchtime.

As we get into this evening, more moisture is expected to return. With colder temps, that moisture will be in the form of light snow showers scattered about the plateau. That activity is expected to continue into Thursday. Light accumulation is certainly possible, and caution is advised on roadways tonight and Thursday morning.

Our next storm system arrives late Saturday night with more rain and wind. The unsettled weather continues into next week. Stay tuned!

Hourly Temp & Precip Forecast

9:00 a.m. today to 6:00 p.m. Thursday.

Model Data

This model run of snowfall accumulation runs from 6:00 pm tonight to 6:00 pm Thursday. As you can see, the western edges of the plateau are favored for the best chance for accumulation.

Chance for a Snow Day

The chance for a snow day remains at 60%. If trends today continue to show a bit more snow potential for tonight, my confidence will increase for a snow day. Stay tuned!

Weather Statistics

For the period of midnight to midnight.

On This Day

1837 – At 7 PM a display of the Northern Lights danced above Burlington, Vermont. Its light was equal to the full moon. Snow and other objects reflecting the light were deeply tinged with a blood red hue. Blue, yellow and white streamers were also noted. 

1965 – Alta, Utah, was in the midst of a storm that left the town buried under 105 inches of snow establishing a record for the state. 

Announcement

I’m working on a big announcement that I will be able to make soon! I think you all are going to be, like me, very excited! Stay tuned!

MM Kids Classes 

For information on the Meteorologist Mark Kids Classes, just visit the link at https://meteorologistmark.com/mm-kids/

Be sure to Follow the blog to get updates sent to your inbox and/or download the free Android app!

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

Weather Aware Times

Wind Advisory Tonight & Wednesday

Winds tonight could gust to over 55 mph, which will likely cause disruptions to power across the plateau. Saturated grounds could easily cause shallow-rooted trees to fall. Secure any outdoor loose items. Park vehicles away from trees with limbs that might fall.

Wednesday Night & Thursday

Periods of light snow are likely Wednesday night through Thursday night. Light accumulation looks likely. As with past “northwest flow” snow events this season, the favored areas for accumulation will be on the western edge of the plateau. Guidance is trending upward (even if slightly) with snowfall amounts. I will continue to monitor this closely.

Weather Summary

Winds will be increasing as we go through the night and could even become damaging, with winds gusts to 55 mph possible. Be sure and secure all outdoor loose objects and make sure your car is parked away from anything that could break free in the wind and fall on your vehicle. Prepare for power outages, as winds of this nature often lead to scattered outages.

You can keep up with power outages at https://poweroutage.us/area/state/tennessee Just be sure to refresh the page for updates. I’ve seen some outages in West Tennessee this evening.

The bulk of the rain moves out in the morning. Winds will continue to be gusty on Wednesday and temps will begin to fall by lunch time. As colder air moves in, rain showers will turn to snow showers. Look for that transition to occur shortly after sunset. Snow showers will continue into the night and into Thursday.

Hourly Wind Forecast

I shared this earlier on Facebook and it remains the forecast. Winds will increase quickly tonight, especially after 9:00 pm.

Hourly Temp & Precip Forecast

8:00 p.m. tonight to noon Wednesday

Model Data

This particular model shows what I think will happen. This shows snowfall accumulation from 6:00 pm Wednesday to noon on Thursday. This has snow starting a bit later than I currently think it will, but it still does a great job showing that favored western edge of the plateau getting the best chance for accumulating snowfall.

Chance for a Snow Day

The chance for a snow day on Thursday has been increased from 50% to 60%. Stay tuned for updates!

Rainfall Forecast

Tuesday night to Wednesday rainfall totals

Be sure to Follow the blog to get updates sent to your inbox and/or download the free Android app!

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

Forecast issued Tuesday, January 24, 2023

Weather Aware Times

Wind Advisory Tonight & Wednesday

A powerful storm system is forecast to bring wind and rain to the area Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. Winds could gust over 55 mph, which will likely cause disruptions to power across the plateau. Saturated grounds could easily cause shallow-rooted trees to fall. Secure any outdoor loose items. Park vehicles away from trees with limbs that might fall.

Wednesday Night & Thursday

Light snow is likely Wednesday night and Thursday. Light accumulation looks likely. I will continue to monitor this closely.

Five-Day Outlook 

MM’s Wx Vlog

Be sure and subscribe to my channel for free at https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCz3zLMT7tqpb6eIaE-8YGog

Weather Summary

The sun should bright today, as temps rise to the mid to upper 40s. The calm before the next storm system…

Tuesday night the bottom drops out, as winds increase dramatically and rain moves in. Strong southerly winds will gust to over 50 mph. The rain tapers off Wednesday morning, but strong winds continue through the day and night. As we get into Wednesday night, moisture turns to snow showers. Those snow showers are expected to persist through Thursday and into the night, leading to some possible light accumulation, especially on the western edge of the plateau.

At this time, skies look mostly cloudy and temps look chilly for Friday. More sunshine and warmer temps are expected for Saturday, as it will likely be much like today’s weather.

Hourly Temp & Precip Forecast

9:00 a.m. to midnight hourly temp and precip chances.

Model Data

This model data runs from 9:00 pm to 6:00 am Thursday in one-hour increments. This is a model and times could be off by as much as an hour, so keep that in mind. The general trend is well displayed with this model.

Chance for a Snow Day

The chance remains at 50%. Stay tuned for updates!

Rainfall Forecast

Tuesday night to Wednesday rainfall totals

Weather Statistics

For the period of midnight to midnight.

On This Day

1963- Temperature at Kingston Springs drops to -30 degrees, which is the lowest temperature ever recorded in Middle Tennessee, and comes within 2 degrees of tying the all-time record low for Tennessee (Mountain City, 12/30/1917). Other record lows include Clarksville (-17), Dover (-24), Lafayette (-20), Linden (-18), Portland (-19), Springfield (-18), and Waverly (-26). In fact, Waverly sees its temperature drop by 80 degrees with the passage of the strongest cold front in mid state history. Five inches of snow accompany the dramatic change in temperature. The Duck River freezes solid from bank to bank for the first time since 1898. Harbors along the Tennessee River also freeze. It is considered the worst winter weather since the 1951 ice storm.

Announcement

I’m working on a big announcement that I will be able to make soon! I think you all are going to be, like me, very excited! Stay tuned!

MM Kids Classes 

For information on the Meteorologist Mark Kids Classes, just visit the link at https://meteorologistmark.com/mm-kids/

Be sure to Follow the blog to get updates sent to your inbox and/or download the free Android app!

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. 

Weather Aware Times

Tuesday Night & Wednesday

The trend for high winds Tuesday night and Wednesday continues. It now looks like we could have wind gusts to 55 mph. Some guidance is even suggesting 60 mph wind gusts. These winds will likely cause disruptions to power across the plateau. Saturated grounds could easily cause shallow-rooted trees to fall. These winds will likely be the strongest we’ve seen this season. Make sure all loose objects outside are secured.

Wednesday Night & Thursday

Light snow continues to look likely Wednesday night and Thursday from another northwest flow snow event. Like other northwest flow events we’ve seen this season, the greatest risk for accumulation will be on the western edge of the plateau. Amounts look light, but it only takes a little snow to cause some big travel troubles.

Snow Forecast

This continues to look like a light event, but I will monitor closely. Stay tuned for updates!

Snow Day Forecast

Once again, a snow day will likely hinge on what Mayland – Monterey – western Fentress County gets as to whether schools on the plateau will get a snow day. My thoughts remain unchanged at 50%.

GFS Forecast Snowfall Model

This is one model forecast for possible snowfall accumulation. Most models continue to show northwest flow snow for our area on Wednesday night and Thursday. As I’ve said before, these events are tough to forecast and they are very dependent on how much moisture remains in the atmosphere as colder, drier works moves in. Nevertheless, we often get at least some light snow from these events, as we’ve already seen several times this season.

Thsi model runs begins Thursday evening at 6:00 pm and ends at 6:00 am Friday morning. Notice how the western sides of the plateau are favored.

FYI

Just a heads up….models are showing some wild snow totals on us over the next few weeks. As you know, the models will change but not before they are shared for clicks and likes on social media. When I believe we’ll get a big snow you’ll be the first to know! (ha) If you want hype from fake data, I’m afraid you’ll have to look elsewhere. I prepare you for the realistic threats, which keeps me busy enough! (HA!) Beware of posts with bad grammar and letters typed out in all caps. Those are always red flags. Just sayin’. (LOL)

Be sure to Follow the blog to get updates sent to your inbox and/or download the free Android app!

Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.

Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings.