Tropical downpours today

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SUMMARY

Today will be very similar to yesterday, except the coverage of storms will be more widespread. By the end of the day, all of us will have likely seen some rain, and some of us will have seen a  lot of rain. This is moisture coming up from that tropical low in the Gulf and any storms that develop will be capable of producing very heavy rainfall. You’ll need to also be mindful of that lightning! Some of the storms may become strong again today, with small hail and gusty winds, but widespread severe weather is not anticipated. I think the hail reports will be much more isolated than they were yesterday, so that’s good.

Tomorrow, we’ll see much of the same. Activity should start to become more scattered about by Friday. I think Friday will be more similar to yesterday. Then, by Saturday we start to see some drier air move in behind this tropical low and we should only see isolated afternoon/evening storms across the plateau.

Models are hinting at a disturbance moving out of Kentucky on us for Sunday. With such a warm, moist air mass in place I think we’ll see some pretty good rain coverage from scattered afternoon showers and storms. I’ll keep an eye on that.

DISCUSSION

We saw several hail reports around the area yesterday afternoon from stronger storms. None of it got big enough to cause damage, but it certainly made some noise as it bounced around! Some places also picked up over an inch of rain, while my garden remains dusty dry this morning. Such is the weather in summer-like patterns.

The main focus of severe weather yesterday was in the Northeast. Unfortunately, three fatalities have been reported so far from trees falling on vehicles. High winds and extremely large hail pounded several locations. This is the second time this spring that portions of the Northeast/New England have been issued a moderate risk for severe storms, which is the fourth highest level out of five. That’s just incredible for them.  This map shows the storm reports from yesterday. Clearly, the Northeast had a very active day!

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This was the scene in New York City as severe storms moved in. How ominous is that!? The Empire State Building is in the forefront of the picture.

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Lightning striking the One World Trade Center Building. This building often gets struck multiple times during storms.

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And this hail-damaged home. There were numerous reports of golfball-sized hail and some reports of baseball-sized hail.

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And this is a map showing all the tornado warning polygons that were issued. Not all of these touched down, of course, but this is impressive for the Northeast!

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Fortunately, today will be a much quieter day for these folks and they can safely clean up from yesterday’s storms. And, thankfully, our storms will not be anything like the ones they saw yesterday.

I’ll end with showing you an erratic supercell that took place in Oklahoma Monday night. I shared it on our weatherTAP social media this morning to emphasize the point that sometimes storms don’t always move like we might expect. It’s also why storm chasers need to be especially mindful of all the wind fields in the atmosphere and understand if the atmosphere could support such erratic behavior. The red line is the path the storm took over its lifetime.

You all have a great day and try and stay dry this afternoon!

 

 

 

 

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