The Storm Prediction Center continues to highlight the plateau in a marginal risk for severe weather for this afternoon and evening. The main threat would be wind gusts to 50 mph and heavy rainfall. The tornado threat is extremely low on the plateau. The clouds and rain of today are keeping our atmosphere stable and that is really limiting severe storm potential. Still, a strong or even briefly severe storm can’t be ruled out.
The greater severe weather threat remains to our west and south. The yellow-shaded region in the map below is the slight risk area, updated at 2:00 pm. Kentucky is covered with flood watches. I left lightning strikes on for the image below. Notice how few and far between the strikes are. Also, that red-circled area is where the Storm Prediction Center is considering a watch. They are more unstable than we are, yet the chance of a watch is only at 40%, even for them.
Current radar shows some heavy downpours of rain across Middle TN. These will continue into the night. Total rainfall will range between 1-2 inches for the plateau with this event.
Showers and t-storms will be with us through the afternoon and evening. The risk for severe weather is very low. Total rainfall for the plateau will range between 1-2 inches. Flooding issues are not a concern at this time.
Skies will clear out tomorrow, as a cooler, drier, and more seasonal airmass moves in.
You all have a great Sunday. If anything changes I’ll let you know.