WHAT: Strong to severe thunderstorms
WHEN: 4:00-9:00 pm
WHERE: Mainly along and south of I-40
MAIN HAZARDS: Gusty winds and hail (isolated tornado possible)
The 3:00 pm Storm Prediction Center update is out and the outlook remains virtually unchanged from earlier outlooks, with those of you south of I-40 in the slight risk and those of you north of I-40 in the marginal risk for severe weather.
The good news is that it continues to look like the threat of severe weather is much lower for those of you north of I-40 (northern Cumberland, all of Fentress and Overton Counties). Storms are struggling across Middle TN and that trend will hopefully continue into the evening. Clouds have clung on to us tightly today and that has kept us on the cooler side of things. We may still warm several more degrees before the storms arrive, but we will not be nearly as warm as folks to our south. Unfortunately, our rain-cooled air is only going to make the contrasting air masses that much more different across southern Middle TN. That may not bode well for them at all.
In the RadarLab image below, a mesoscale discussion has been posted for southern Middle TN and northern Alabama and Mississippi. There, the threat for severe weather is MUCH higher than it is here. A tornado watch will be issued for that area soon. Notice that the warm front is staying to our south (thank goodness!).
We will remain weather-aware the rest of our day and evening. While the threat is much higher to our south and southwest, we are still not completely out of the woods. I’ll let you know when the threat has passed.
Notice how broken the clouds are across southern Middle TN and northern AL. That is not good for them at all. I’ll keep watching our weather and I’ll let you all know if anything changes! I’ll update again, as needed.