An unsettled pattern will be with us for several days, offering scattered showers and storms each day through Monday. Sunday looks to offer the best chance for rain areawide. If you have outdoor plans through the weekend, make sure you have an indoor back-up plan. Drier air should filter into the region on Tuesday, giving us dry conditions and sunshine.
Widespread severe weather is not expected, but any storm that develops will have cloud-to-ground lightning, gusty winds, and heavy rainfall.
This Week’s Hazards
MM’s Wx Vlog
Friday & Saurday: Scattered showers and t-storms are likely, especially in the afternoons. South wind at 5 mph.
Sunday: Rain and storms are likely. Some of the rainfall could be heavy. Southwest wind at 5 mph.
Monday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, tapering off after sunset. West wind at 5 mph.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy and pleasant. Northwest wind at 5 mph.
HRRR Radar Model
This radar simulation begins at 9:00 a.m. and ends at 9:00 p.m. This particular model forecasts scattered storms to be most numerous around the 5:00 hour, give or take an hour. Other guidance agrees with this, though there are indications storms may fire as early as the noon hour. If storms fire off earlier, that could lead to a nice evening at the Fair.
On This Day
1788 – A small but powerful hurricane inflicted great havoc upon forests along a narrow track from New Jersey to Maine. A similar storm track today would cause extreme disaster in the now populated area.
1969 – The remnants of Hurricane Camille, a cat 5 hurricane that made landfall on the Mississippi coastline on the 17th, let loose a cloudburst in Virginia on this day resulting in flash floods and landslides which killed 151 persons and cause 140 million dollars damage. Massies Hill, Virginia received 27 inches of rain.
Today’s High Temps & Departure from Average
Today’s high temps are shown below. The coloration indicates departure from average, with redder colors indicating above-average high temps and bluer colors indicating below-average high temps. White coloration indicates average temps.
Highest temp expected today: 115 degrees (red star)
Coolest high temp expected today: 44 degrees (blue star)
Tomorrow Morning’s Low Temps & Departure from Average
Tomorrow morning’s low temps are shown below. The coloration indicates departure from average, with redder colors indicating above-average low temps and bluer colors indicating below-average temps. White coloration indicates average temps expected.
Warmest overnight low expected: 94 degrees (red star)
Coolest overnight low expected: 34 degrees (blue star)
Past 24-Hour Precip Totals
The latest drought map was released on Thursday and shows improving conditions across the state of Tennessee. Rainfall over the past week has helped improve soil moisture conditions across much of the state. For more drought info, please visit my link at https://meteorologistmark.com/drought-info/.
An area of low pressure has developed in the southwestern Gulf. A Hurricane Hunter plane is scheduled to investigate this system today. That system could develop into a tropical depression or storm before it moves inland Saturday night.
MM Classes for Kids
I’ll have a special write-up about the kids’ classes to share soon.
Other important information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Many of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.