MM’s Wx Vlog
72-Hour Weather Hazards
Severe weather is not expected through Saturday.
Strong winds will begin blowing after midnight Friday. Be safe in high-profile vehicles. Secure any loose outdoor furniture.
Five-Day Weather Forecast
Thursday: Mostly sunny and mild.
Friday: Mostly sunny & becoming breezy. Winds 10- 15 mph by evening, becoming stronger overnight, with gusts to 20 mph.
Saturday: Increasing clouds & windy. Wind gusts to 25+ mph possible.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy, with a slight chance for showers.
Monday: Partly cloudy and mild.
The “trending” graphic proved to be too time consuming (ha). I’ll add any comments about trending here in the discussion, as needed.
As of now, the forecast is trending drier for our weekend system. Rainfall amounts are only looking to stay at or under 1/4 inch. This will do little to nothing to alleviate drought conditions.
There continues to be no significant precip or cold air in sight.
Storm Prediction Center Forecast
A secondary peak in severe weather often occurs in November. I’ll keep an eye on that in the coming weeks.
Day 1 is today and then the days progress ahead. There is a risk of severe storms across western Kansas, Oklahoma, and the Panhandle of Texas today. That system tracks eastward tomorrow (Day 2) to bring severe storms to Oklahoma, Arkansas, Louisiana, and Texas. This system will weaken significantly as it moves into our region, bringing only the risk of some showers this weekend and perhaps a rumble of thunder. The green shading on Day 3 (Saturday) is for possible thunder, though that risk is very low.
On This Day
1966- Cookeville measures 15.2″ of snowfall — its greatest one-day snowfall ever — as well as Woodbury, with 13″, and Livingston, with 10½”.
2003- An unseasonably warm spell brings record warmth to the mid state. Nashville’s 82 degrees breaks the daily record, and Crossville’s 79 degrees ties the record high for November.
1957 – Soviet Union launches Sputnik 2 with space dog Laika aboard, a mostly-Siberian husky, the 1st animal in space.
Past 24-Hour Precip Totals
Drought conditions continue to worsen across the state. For even more drought info, including a look at the national drought map, please visit https://meteorologistmark.com/drought-info/
TN population affected by drought last week: 4,614,652
TN population affected by drought this week: 3,961,995 (I’m not sure this was calculated correctly, as drought has spread to even more areas since last week.)
National Weather Map for Today
Past 24-Hour Temperature Changes
Bluer colors represent colder temps from 24 hours ago this morning, while redder colors indicate warmer temps from 24 hours ago.
Today’s High Temps & Departure from Average
Today’s high temps are shown below. The coloration indicates departure from average, with redder colors indicating above-average high temps and bluer colors indicating below-average high temps. White coloration indicates average temps.
Highest temp expected today: 94 degrees (red star)
Coolest high temp expected today: 8 degrees (blue star)
Tomorrow Morning’s Low Temps & Departure from Average
Tomorrow morning’s low temps are shown below. The coloration indicates departure from average, with redder colors indicating above-average low temps and bluer colors indicating below-average temps. White coloration indicates average temps expected.
Warmest overnight low expected: 79 degrees (red star)
Coolest overnight low expected: – 5 degrees (blue star)
Five-Day Rainfall Forecast
Current Snow Cover Map
The tropics appear to be becoming more active as we move through the first week of November. “Lisa” continues to move inland and is still expected to enter the southwestern Gulf. Environmental conditions are expected to become hostile for that storm, but that is being monitored closely.
“Martin” is moving out to sea.
The other two yellow-shaded areas are being watched very closely, especially the larger area near the Bahamas. That system could pose a threat to the US within the next five to seven days.
MM Classes for Kids
The next MM kid’s classes will take place in November. The Clarkrange class will take place Thursday, November 10 at 5:00 pm. The next Crossville class will take place on Wednesday, November 16 at 4:30 pm. The class topic will be snow! Registration is required. Class is limited to 20 students. Hands-on science project is included with the lesson.
To register for the Clarkrange class go to https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdRJOsgYZEhYSTSzVpM3vNbbD-1p76Xy2dAGW9fZJnkTdyDsw/viewform
To register for the Crossville class go to https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSeeY1rYL2Ahg4tVzHFHAig1VJcVwJvxqGzCvhRK2QB0hj9Q8A/viewform
Subscribe today to the MM Pro monthly newsletter! Proceeds pay for materials for the MM kid’s classes. Try out a free copy or subscribe at https://meteorologistmarkpro.com/
The latest newsletter was released this week! Learn about woolly worms, a historic early-November snowstorm on the plateau, and what NOAA is predicting this winter. That and MORE are in this month’s newsletter.
Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, forecast discussion, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.
Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. Have a weather app, a weather radio, and any other source of reliable information.