Snow update and a special weather statement from the NWS

Model data is looking more reliable (finally, right?). It now looks like we have a really good shot at some light snow Sunday night. The latest GFS model, which is one of our better models, shows light snow wrapping around the backside of the low and right on to the Cumberland Plateau Sunday night.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_6

If this scenario pans out as the model depicts, we will see around one inch of snow.  Should more moisture wrap around, we might see a bit more, though that scenario is less likely at this time.

The National Weather Service Nashville just released this special weather statement:

“…A Quick Shot of Measurable Snow Possible Over Parts of the Mid
State Late Sunday Night and Early Monday…

A low pressure system will move across our area Sunday night and
early Monday, pulling in colder air from the north and giving
northern and eastern parts of Middle Tennessee a chance for
measurable snowfall. The best chance for snowfall accumulation
will be in the counties near the Kentucky border, especially along
the Highland Rim, north of Nashville, extending eastward toward
Lafayette, Smithville and the Cumberland Plateau. Those areas
could see between one half and one inch of snow accumulation late
Sunday night and early Monday morning.”

Interestingly, severe storms are breaking out back over Arkansas this evening. Those are diving south and east, so they will be no threat to us. The disturbance responsible for those showers will throw moisture our way by Sunday morning.

RAD_MOS_REG_SE_L2WINTER

I’ll be watching the weather all day tomorrow and keeping you updated on our snow chances and any changes to the accumulation forecast! I wouldn’t be surprised to see a winter weather advisory issued for Sunday night/Monday morning. Stay tuned!

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