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Storms returning for the end of the week

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Main Threats

Today: The heat and humidity this afternoon. Be careful if you have to work outside.

Thursday: Strong storms in the afternoon/evening hours.

Summary

We’ll be hot and dry today, with high pressure in control. Be careful if you’re out in the heat and humidity this afternoon.

By tomorrow, the high pressure that is keeping us dry today will begin breaking down. This will lead to some isolated showers/storms in the afternoon.

On Thursday, the slow-moving cold front moves close enough to set off scattered showers and storms, mainly in the afternoon and evening. Some of those storms could be strong to severe, with damaging winds and hail being the main threats. We could also see some very heavy rainfall in the stronger storms, as well as frequent cloud-to-ground lightning. The Storm Prediction Center has placed parts of the plateau in the marginal risk for severe storms for Thursday. I’ll keep an eye on it.

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We’ll see more scattered showers and storms for our Friday and Saturday, as several disturbances slide along our slow-moving cold front. The timing of these disturbances is nearly impossible to nail down this many days out, so just be aware that showers/storms could be occurring any time during that period. I’ll try to get more specific with timing as we get closer to those days.

The unsettled weather looks to continue on Sunday, with mainly afternoon/evening showers/storms hanging with us.

Discussion

I’ll continue to monitor the threat for storms on Thursday. Models had been keeping the stronger storms to our west, but they are now suggesting that some of that activity will make its way over to our neck of the woods, especially Thursday evening. This isn’t a widespread severe weather threat, but any storm that develops in the unstable atmosphere of Thursday will certainly have the potential to have some kick to it.

Tropics

We still have our disturbance way out in the Atlantic that is being watched. It now looks like it will become our next named storm. That storm would be named Ernesto. It is absolutely no threat to the U.S., nor will it ever be.

No other development is expected for at least the next five days.

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Records

We all know it can get very hot this time of year, right? We’ve certainly not seen any of that this year but that’s only because we’ve been very lucky. I’ve mentioned summers that were just miserably hot that I’ve seen in the records. Today’s record is no exception.

The summer of 1936 was a miserable one for a very large portion of the country. One fo the worst things about heat waves in these days is that no one has air conditioning. There’s just no relief. The summers of the 1930s are some of the most miserable on record for the U.S. To make matters worse, the Stock Market had crashed in October 1929 and four months later we went into the new decade with some of the worst weather on our records. It’s not wonder so many folks had to abandon their drought-stricken, scorched farms on the Plains.

Incidentally, storms in the springs of the 1930s were also some of the worst on record. In fact, here in Tennessee we had our deadliest tornado on record in the spring of 1933 near Livingston. It was a rough decade for a lot of folks!

It was during the summer of 1936 that temperatures across the Plains were just awful. On this day, Kansas City, Missouri hit their all-time record high of 113 degrees. Much of Kansas hit 110. For Kansas City, the high of 113 today was just one of 16 consecutive days of high temps of 100 degrees or higher! Can you imagine 16 days of that kind of heat? By the time that summer was over, that city had hit 100 degrees or better a total of 53 days! To make matters worse, only a whopping 1.12 inches of rain fell that summer there. See, is it any wonder so many people lost their farms in the 30s on the Plains? What a miserable, gut-wrenching time for so many folks.

Kinda makes 2018 seem alright, after all, right?

News

The fall outlooks are starting to come together! Granted, long range outlooks are plagued with problems and inaccuracies, but so far the fall outlooks have us below average on temperatures. I’m not sure what the precip outlook will look like but it’s starting to look like we’ll be cooler than average. Will this mean an early frost? It’s certainly possible. I’ll keep an eye on it.

I found this remarkable image online yesterday of the Parker Probe leaving Kennedy Space Center in the very early morning hours of Sunday. The probe is headed for the sun and will take us closer than ever before to Earth’s nearest, most precious star. It is hoped that the probe will answer questions that we’ve had for decades about the sun. For instance, the surface of the sun is roughly 10,000+ degrees. However, the corona, which is located in the highest level of the atmosphere of the sun, is as much as a whopping 3.5 million degrees! The corona starts at about 1,300 miles from the sun! Why would the heat increase so much in this outermost layer and be so much hotter than the sun’s surface? That’s a darn good question. Incidentally, the corona is so thin that we can’t see it with our naked eye. However, during the total solar eclipse you got to see the corona when the moon covered the sun. The corona was that white light you saw surrounding the moon. As the gasses of the corona cool, they become the solar wind you hear about.

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