A drier week but watching the Gulf

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Weather Headlines: (new section!)

Tuesday will be our first dry day across the region in some time!

The best chance of rain this week will be Thursday with a cold front. That will be followed by less humid air for Friday.

That nice weather should continue into the weekend, but that all depends on what the tropical system in the Gulf does.

Main threats:

No significant/widespread threats in sight.

Summary

We’ll have to hold on to a slight chance for a shower or storm today, as a weak system pulls through. A great many of us will stay hot and dry, though. That dry weather continues into Tuesday.

By Wednesday, another cold front will begin moving through the Plains. This could increase our instability enough to generate an afternoon shower or storm. That is a slight chance, and it’s a chance that pales in comparison to our chances for storms on Thursday, when that front arrives.

While that front will offer the chance for storms, some of which may be strong, it will be followed by drier, less humid air. That’s always a welcome feeling in July! Temps will still be quite warm, but the air will feel better with the lower humidity values. What a great night for camping!

As of now, the weekend looks great. However, we will have to watch and see what the newly-developed system in the northern Gulf of Mexico will do because that could have impacts on our weather. Right now, it looks to stay far enough to our south to give us little, if any, influence, but that could change. At this time, confidence is very low in what that system will do.

WeatherTAP WeatherFACT

Relative to movement, the right-hand side of a tropical system is often the most dangerous side, with the highest storm surge, heaviest rainfall, strongest winds, and greatest chance for tornadoes.

Records

The summer of 1954 had already proved to be a hot one for Nashville. In fact, by this date they were already on their 31st consecutive day of hitting 90 degrees or better!

In great contrast to this, the summer of 1816 was proving to be a very chilly one for New England. It was so cool that on the morning of July 8th some isolated locations in that region reported frost!

Almanac

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Yesterday’s record high: 96 (2012)

Yesterday’s record low: 48 (1972)

Today’s record high: 97 (1993)

Today’s record low: 52 (1972)

Today’s sunset: 7:59

Tomorrow sunrise: 5:31

Today’s day length: 14 hrs 28 mins 21 secs

Tomorrow’s day length: 14 hrs 27 mins 28 secs

One year ago today

It was a dry day, with a high of 82 and a low of 67 degrees.

News

All eyes are on the northern Gulf Coast this week. A disturbance in the Southeast is expected to drop into the Gulf by the middle to end of this week. The system will encounter favorable atmospheric conditions for development, as well as very warm Gulf temperatures. The end result should be the development of our second tropical storm of the 2019 season. That storm would be called Barry.

As of now, models are not handling the strength or movement of this system very well at all (that’s quite common with situations like this). The current thought is that it will just hang out along the coast through the weekend, possibly moving westward toward Texas. This would lead to very wet and windy conditions throughout the northern Gulf Coast from at least Thursday through the weekend. Anyone with travel plans to the northern Gulf Coast this week or next weekend should monitor this closely.

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I’ll keep an eye on the storm threat for Thursday, as well as the development of Barry this week!

You all have a great day!

4 thoughts on “A drier week but watching the Gulf

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