I just wanted to give you all a quick update on the forecast for Thursday. In this morning’s blog, I mentioned that the best chance of rain would be Thursday and Thursday night, south of I-40. While that is still true, it now looks like those rains could be on the heavy side. Some areas south of I-40 could pick up 1-2 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts. Models have trended northward with the rain today and if that trend continues more of us could see heavy rain tomorrow. Thursday is looking more and more like a washout.
As of now, the National Weather Service has issued a Flood Watch for tomorrow for those counties shaded in dark green. In later outlooks, this watch may be extended northward and may end up including Cumberland, White, and even Putnam Counties, depending on how things trend this evening and tonight.
In this morning’s forecast I set the rain chance at 70% for the Upper Cumberlands for tomorrow. Now, I’m going to need to raise that rain chance to 90%. Be prepared for a wet Thursday and be on the lookout for some heavy downpours.
This will be the remnants of Beta. They are combining with another disturbance and the combination of the two is looking wetter with every model run. If there’s anything you needed to get done before rain moves in, this evening is your last chance.
Rain chances drop off for Friday, as all this activity moves east of our area.
On another note, TCAT has graciously offered to provide a room for another Meteorologist Mark science lesson for kids! How exciting is that! The class will be Monday, October 5 at 4:00 pm and the topic is hurricanes. Class is about an hour long. The sign-up sheet, which is required, can be found at https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSd1VV-VP1VYjsENxUYCLUFaYORKzwFAUMYDRu7vBPGE0G9D1w/viewform
I’ll keep an eye on the weather for you all and keep you updated on any changes!