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MM’s Mon Wx Forecast


MM’s Wx Vlog

This Week’s Hazards

There is a risk for thunderstorms on Tuesday. Some of those storms could be strong to severe. The risk is low but not zero. Damaging wind gusts with a line of thunderstorms are the main risks. The main threat timeframe looks to be in the 3:00 pm to midnight timeframe. The risk and timing is being monitored closely. In addition to thunderstoms, southerly winds are expected to increase Monday night into Tuesday with that storm system, with some gusts reaching 30+ mph.

Five-Day Outlook

Five-Day Weather Forecast 

Monday: Continued mostly sunny and warm. Clouds and winds increase overnight.

Tuesday: Increasing clouds and warm. Chance of showers by afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage by evening. Windy.

Wednesday: Chance for morning showers, then partly cloudy.

Thursday: Mostly sunny.

Friday: Partly to mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers late in the night.

Forecast Discussion 

A strong storm system is expected to crank up today and tonight across the southern plains. That system will then eject eastward, with a developing line of showers and storms. That line is expected to be at its most intense across the southern plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley today, tonight and into Tuesday morning. The line should reach our area Tuesday evening but is expected to weaken, due to more unfavorable atmospheric dynamics and more limited surface moisture. Ahead of that system, winds are expected to increase from the south, possibly gusting to 30 mph or better. With such gusty winds ahead of the storm system, it won’t take much of a storm to produce a damaging winds gust (58 mph or greater). LImited instability should keep most, if not all, storms below those severe limits. If instability increases our severe threat would increase. I’ll keep an eye on it!


GFS Radar Model

This model run is from Tuesday morning to Wednesday morning. Notice how the trend favors a weakening line of storms they approach our area. Nevertheless, we’ll still need to be weather-aware for this line.

MM’s Severe Wx Concerns 

Storm Prediction Center Forecast Threat for Tuesday 

Severe Weather Safety 

To review your severe weather safety guidelines, just visit


On This Day 

1981- A winter-like cold snap brings record cold to Middle Tennessee. Crossville’s 25 degrees ties the daily record low, and Nashville breaks its daily record with 28 degrees.

1937 – A snow squall in Buffalo NY tied up traffic in six inches of slush.


Drought Outlook 

Drought conditions continue to worsen across the state. With little to no appreciable rainfall in sight, drought will continue to worsen. For more info, please visit

Tennesseans affected by drought last week: 669,041

Tennesseans affected by drought this week: 3,482,576


Past 24-Hour Temperature Changes

Bluer colors represent colder temps from 24 hours ago this morning, while redder colors indicate warmer temps from 24 hours ago. 

Today’s High Temps & Departure from Average

Today’s high temps are shown below. The coloration indicates departure from average, with redder colors indicating above-average high temps and bluer colors indicating below-average high temps. White coloration indicates average temps.

Highest temp expected today: 97 degrees (red star)

Coolest high temp expected today: 9 degrees (blue star)

Tomorrow Morning’s Low Temps & Departure from Average

Tomorrow morning’s low temps are shown below. The coloration indicates departure from average, with redder colors indicating above-average low temps and bluer colors indicating below-average temps. White coloration indicates average temps expected.

Warmest overnight low expected: 77 degrees (red star)

Coolest overnight low expected: 1 degrees (blue star)

Current Snow Cover Map 

Hurricane Forecast 

Two areas are now being monitored closely. Neither one look to be a direct threat to the U.S., though that is being monitored. A cold front sweeping across the US early this week should sweep both of these out to sea. Nevertheless, each system could bring rough seas to the East Coast.


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The MM kid’s classes will take place in November. Stay tuned for dates!


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You all have a great day and keep lookin’ up!

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