A wind advisory is in effect for today. Winds areawide will likely gust to 30 mph at times, with isolated locations experiencing wind gusts to 40 mph.
To give to storm relief, please consider giving through https://www.samaritanspurse.org/ Folks across the southern plains would appreciate it, as well as those impacted by Hurricane Ian earlier this fall in Florida.
LOCAL WEATHER
MM’s Wx Vlog
72-Hour Weather Hazards
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through Monday.
Strong winds are expected today across the region. Be safe in high-profile vehicles. Secure any loose outdoor furniture.
Five-Day Outlook
Five-Day Weather Forecast
Saturday: Showers developing & windy. Wind gusts to 30+ mph likely.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy, with a slight chance for showers.
Monday: Partly to mostly cloudy, with a slight chance for showers, especially in the morning.
Tuesday – Wednesday: Partly to mostly sunny and mild.
HRRR Radar Model
This radar model runs from 9:00 a.m. to midnight today. Notice how the line just falls apart, giving us only wind and showers.
Forecast Discussion
Weekend rainfall amounts are expected to stay at or under 1/4 inch. This will do very little to alleviate drought conditions.
Today’s main story is the strong southerly winds. Those will die down tonight.
Almanac
Storm Prediction Center Forecast
A secondary peak in severe weather often occurs in November. I’ll keep an eye on that in the coming weeks.
Day 1 is today and then the days progress ahead. The green shading on today (Day 1) is for possible thunder on the plateau, though that risk is very low.
HISTORY
On This Day
1977 – A slow moving storm produced five to nine inch rains across northern Georgia causing the Toccoa Dam to burst. As the earthen dam collapsed the waters rushed through the Toccoa Falls Bible College killing three persons in the dorms. Thirty-eight persons perished at a trailer park along the stream.
1935 – Parker Brothers launches the board game Monopoly.
REGIONALLY
Yesterday’s Rainfall Totals
Drought Outlook
This is the latest map, updated on Nov 2.
Drought conditions continue to worsen across the state. For even more drought info, including a look at the national drought map, please visit https://meteorologistmark.com/drought-info/
TN population affected by drought last week: 4,614,652
TN population affected by drought this week: 3,961,995 (I’m not sure this was calculated correctly, as drought has spread to even more areas since last week.)
NATIONALLY
National Weather Map for Today
Past 24-Hour Temperature Changes
Bluer colors represent colder temps from 24 hours ago this morning, while redder colors indicate warmer temps from 24 hours ago.
Today’s High Temps & Departure from Average
Today’s high temps are shown below. The coloration indicates departure from average, with redder colors indicating above-average high temps and bluer colors indicating below-average high temps. White coloration indicates average temps.
Highest temp expected today: 88 degrees (red star)
Coolest high temp expected today: 8 degrees (blue star)
Tomorrow Morning’s Low Temps & Departure from Average
Tomorrow morning’s low temps are shown below. The coloration indicates departure from average, with redder colors indicating above-average low temps and bluer colors indicating below-average temps. White coloration indicates average temps expected.
Warmest overnight low expected: 79 degrees (red star)
Coolest overnight low expected: -5 degrees (blue star)
Five-Day Rainfall Forecast
Current Snow Cover Map
Hurricane Forecast
The orange-shaded region is expected to impact the US over the next week. The main area of concern is the east coast of Florida. The Hurricane Center now gives that area of low pressure a 60% chance for development. There are a lot uncertainties with that forecast, but I’ll keep a close eye on it. I’ll keep you posted!
MM NEWS
MM Classes for Kids
The next MM kid’s classes will take place in November. The Clarkrange class will take place Thursday, November 10 at 5:00 pm. The next Crossville class will take place on Wednesday, November 16 at 4:30 pm. The class topic will be snow! Registration is required. Class is limited to 20 students. Hands-on science project is included with the lesson.
To register for the Clarkrange class go to https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdRJOsgYZEhYSTSzVpM3vNbbD-1p76Xy2dAGW9fZJnkTdyDsw/viewform
To register for the Crossville class go to https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSeeY1rYL2Ahg4tVzHFHAig1VJcVwJvxqGzCvhRK2QB0hj9Q8A/viewform
MeteorologistMarkPro
Subscribe today to the MM Pro monthly newsletter! Proceeds pay for materials for the MM kid’s classes. Try out a free copy or subscribe at https://meteorologistmarkpro.com/
The latest newsletter was released this week! Learn about woolly worms, a historic early-November snowstorm on the plateau, and what NOAA is predicting this winter. That and MORE are in this month’s newsletter.
Other important weather information will be shared when needed. This includes additional severe weather information, forecast discussion, model data, drought info, hurricane info, and more. Some of these can be found as tabs to this page at any time.
Disclaimer: This website/app should never be considered your primary source of severe weather warnings. Have a weather app, a weather radio, and any other source of reliable information.
You all have a great day and keep lookin’ up!
