Special forecast issued Sunday, January 29, 2023
Special Note
The main threat from ice this week will be to roads. Travel troubles are certainly possible areawide Wednesday morning. An ice storm is not expected. Please stay tuned for updates, as this forecast is admittedly a challenge. The greatest forecast challenges deal with whether light precip will fall when temps are below freezing or if the precip will wait until temps climb above freezing.
Weather-Aware Times
The risk for freezing rain is greatest late Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. Much uncertainty can be found with the snow on Thursday night (possibly into Friday morning), so stay tuned for updates!
Chance For A Snow Day
If certainty with precip increases, the chance for a snow day will increase.
It is too soon to make any forecast for a snow day for Friday. Stay tuned!
Five-Day OutlookÂ
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Impact Maps
This map shows the worst-case scenario for Tuesday morning ice that could cause travel troubles. The freezing line is shown in red. Anyone north of that line could be at risk for some slick spots on area roads, especially in colder spots. Most guidance suggests the 32-degree line will stay closer to the Kentucky border on the Cumberland Plateau, but that line could drift south, as shown below. Anyone with travel plans to Nashville should be advised that travel troubles could await you there, as they could be north of that freezing line and in the freezing rain threat.
Many more of us are risk for freezing rain last Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. The 32-degree line drifts much farther south, putting more of us at risk for hazardous roads. The timeframe for the greatest risk from ice is looking like midnight Tuesday to around 10:00 a.m. Wednesday. Anyone with travel that takes you west on Interstate 40 should be advised that travel could be treacherous all along I-40 from Cumberland County westward. Stay tuned for timing updates.
Forecast Rainfall
We’re likley looking at about 1-2 inches of rain by Friday, with the higher totals expected south of I-40 and the lower totals being closer to the Kentucky border.
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