Main threats:
No significant threats in sight, though isolated storms could become strong. The greatest threat from these isolated instances would be small hail, gusty winds, and torrential downpours. Also, be mindful of that lightning.
Summary
We should get a bit of a break from the widespread rainfall this afternoon and evening, though we will be under the influence of a very humid, tropical-like airmass. That will set the stage for scattered showers and storms that could contain heavy rainfall. The rain chance this morning is near 100% but the rain chance this afternoon/evening is set at about 50%. Always be mindful of the lightning in the storms, as well.
More rain will be around for our Saturday, Sunday, and Monday, with heavy downpours possible at times. It’s an unsettled pattern and it won’t rain all the time, but it’s impossible to nail down those specific times. Just keep the rain gear handy and if you have something outdoors to do keep an eye on the radar. I would definitely have indoor backup plans for anything planned outside this weekend!
I think all of us will see at least an inch of rain with this system. I know many of you have seen the 3-6+ inch rain graphics issued by various media outlets. That’s a bit misleading. That’s the potential if you end up underneath every storm that forms over the next few days. That may very well happen to you, but the most likely scenario is that you’ll end up under a few good downpours and end up with an inch or two of total rainfall by Monday night. Keep in mind that I’m still hearing from folks around the plateau who are wondering where their rain is., while I’ve already picked up 0.89″.
Widespread severe weather is not expected over the next few days, but be aware that isolated storms could be a bit intense. It’s very similar to summer afternoons, when a storm may briefly become strong/severe but very localized. The tornado threat is practically zero.
Drier weather should return by Tuesday.
WeatherTAP WeatherFACT
Ash, water vapor, and large debris all carry different charges as they are expelled from a volcano. This is how lightning can be produced within volcanic eruptions. As long as enough of these opposite charges build up, a lightning strike may be needed to equalize the charge separation, leading to lightning strikes coming from a volcano.
Records
Today is the anniversary of the famous snow of 1816 that occurred in the Northeast. Danville, Vermont reported drifts of snow and sleet twenty inches deep! The Highlands were white all day, and flurries were observed as far south as Boston Massachusetts! Can you imagine?!
News
Today’s blog is a bit abbreviated due to the fact that I’m getting ready to head to Asheville. You all think about me tomorrow. I’m running the Asheville half marathon. This is the toughest race I do all year but it’s one of the most scenic and fun. I just hope it doesn’t rain the whole time. ha
And yes, I’m still recovering from getting news of anther invite to cover another rocket launch. As excited I am about seeing the Falcon Heavy rocket lift off, I can’t imagine watching this abort mission take place. How wild is that going to look?!
You all have a great day!