Baldwin’s Wx Blog for June 1, the First Day of Hurricane Season

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Headlines

Hurricane Season has officially begun!

A very pleasant start to the week

Storms return as soon as Wednesday night

Watching the tropics

Main threats

Storms will threaten the area as soon as Wednesday night. Those storm chances will continue, off and on, through at least Saturday. Any storm that develops could be on the strong side. I’ll keep an eye on it!

Baldwin’s Severe Wx Concern

There is no severe weather concern for Monday – Tuesday. 

Below is the outlook for Wednesday night through Friday, when concerns increase just a bit. I’ll keep an eye on this.  The concern is primarily for storm complexes that may drop in from the northwest. We are in the season for those.

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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Daily Forecast

Today & Tomorrow: Very pleasant, with warm afternoons and cool nights. Humidity will be very low.

Wednesday: Both heat and humidity begin to increase. Storms may threaten parts of the region late in the night.

Thursday – Friday: Scattered showers and storms are possible. Some storms could be strong.

Saturday – Sunday: Showers and storms will still be possible. Continued warm and humid. Activity in the tropics may cause this forecast to get much wetter. I’ll keep an eye on that.

Hay Weather Forecast

We continue to have an ideal hay weather forecast. Get as much as you can done, though, as rain chances begin to increase by Wednesday night. We may even see an isolated shower or storm in the afternoon Wednesday somewhere on the plateau.

Tropical development may bring even more rainfall by the weekend. I’ll keep an eye on that. At this time, it looks like much of that rainfall will go to our south and east, but it’s far too early to be confident in such a long-range forecast concerning a tropical system.

Almanac

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Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 109 at Coolidge, Arizona

Low: 21 at Mount Washington, New Hampshire

Difference of: 88 degrees

Today’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

No widespread hazardous weather is expected.

MondayThreat

Tomorrow’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Severe thunderstorms will threaten the Upper Midwest (yellow-shaded area). All modes of severe weather will be possible, though very large hail is one of the primary concerns. Some of that hail could be larger than 2″ in diameter.

MondayThreat2

Wednesday’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

An extended corridor of severe weather is expected Wednesday from basically Nebraska to Pennsylvania. Damaging, straight-line winds appears to be the main concern with these storm or storm complexes. I’ll have to watch this activity and make sure some of this, or remnants of this, doesn’t slip into TN late in the night.

MondayThreat3

Tropics

It’s the first official day of hurricane season and the National Hurricane Season is already hard at work! Our first named storm for the Gulf looks likely by week’s end. The storm will be named Cristobal and is expected to develop near the red X that you see on the map below. There are now indications that the storm will track northward. It remains to be seen if it will impact our area. I’ll do a video update on this year’s season, as well as on the latest with Cristobal very soon. Stay tuned for that!

MondayHurricane

Here are the names for the 2020 season’s storms? Do you see your name? I guess Marco is close enough to Mark…..

94ac73ec-hurricaneseasonnames2020

Records

A gentleman in Falmouth, Maine was hit by a lightning strike on this day in 1980. The side effects from the strike caused his vision to be restored! He had been blind and partially deaf for nine years, following a truck accident.

Weather Trivia 

Q: How many times, on average, does the Empire State Building in New York get struck by lightning each year?

a. 10  b. 15   c. 20   d. 25

(Answer at the end of the blog!)

Long Range Outlook 

In the days following the first full week of June, guidance is suggesting very warm temps and average to above-average rainfall for our area. Tropical moisture from a system in the Gulf could enhance precip along the northern Gulf Coast.

Temperature

MondayTemp

Precipitation 

MondayRain

7-Day Projected Precip Totals

The enhanced precip in the Gulf is the projected moisture from a tropical system that is developing down there. I’ll be tracking that low to see how close that moisture gets to our neck of the woods.

MondayQPF

NASA News

In the picture below, President Donald Trump, right, Vice President Mike Pence, and Second Lady Karen Pence watch the launch of a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket carrying the company’s Crew Dragon spacecraft on NASA’s SpaceX Demo-2 mission with NASA astronauts Robert Behnken and Douglas Hurley onboard. They watched from the balcony of Operations Support Building II at NASA’s Kennedy Space Center in Florida during Saturday’s launch.

NASA’s SpaceX Demo-2 mission is the first launch with astronauts of the SpaceX Crew Dragon spacecraft and Falcon 9 rocket to the International Space Station as part of the agency’s Commercial Crew Program. The test flight serves as an end-to-end demonstration of SpaceX’s crew transportation system.

President Trump and Vice President Pence are strong supporters of NASA and SpaceX and the work they’re doing. Many of us are very, very grateful for that support.

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Photo Credit: (NASA/Bill Ingalls)

Baldwin’s View-of-the-Day

I shared this on Facebook last night, but it is definitely worth sharing here. If this doesn’t make ya warm and fuzzy inside nothing will.

NASA, “This is the first time in human history that NASA Astronauts have entered the ISS from a commercially-made spacecraft.” Go USA! Go NASA! Go SpaceX! Godspeed to all!

Weather News

Today officially kicks off the start of the 2020 Hurricane Season! NOAA predicts an above average year, with as many as 19 named storms. The season is already off to an active start and we’ve already had two named storms. To make matters worse, the last thing we need during a pandemic is a hurricane. Evacuations would be significantly more complicated, especially for shelters. Let’s hope and pray all storms stay well out at sea!

GRAPHIC-2020-Hurricane-Outlook-piechart-052120-3840x2388-original

Answer to Trivia Question

A: (d) According to the University of Florida, the building gets hit about 25 times a year. There have been instances, however, when the building has been struck three separate times in just a matter of minutes.

The Empire State Building stood as the tallest building in the world from it’s construction in 1930 to 1970, when the World Trade Center overtook it.

You all have a great day!

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Be sure to “Follow” the blog and get updates emailed straight to your inbox! Just find that “Follow” button in the lower right corner of  your screen.

Don’t forget that you can follow me on Twitter! Just find @marksthunder and have access to even more weather and space info!

Thank you!

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